加载中…实盘日记77——日元
(2012-05-02 15:21:11)
标签：
外汇财经 |
分类： 用实盘解 |
日元
……陈宏杰博客
做空日元的三张单子取得重大战果，浮动总收益突破50%，有段日子没有这么出色的脉冲收益出现了。日本是个很奇特的地方，90年代以来，日本房租收益率一直是世界最高水平，但投资于日本地产的人士是全世界最惨的。为什么双位数的年收益，却令投资人亏损？其实，在股市中这样的怪现象经常出现。PE低，也就是年收益高，PE低于8倍，就是年回报大于12%。这两年PE低至个位数的股票，在A股市场绝不鲜见，但投资人一样大亏。惟日本市场奇异之处在于87年至今的廿多年里一直如此。不知道为什么这个曾经非常强悍的小民族，可以忍受如此漫长而无理的行政不作为，仍由本国经济一步一步走向衰亡。单纯依靠增加货币供应量来拉动下滑的经济，却对本币肆无忌惮的升值不闻不问，87年如此，00年后依旧如此，广场协议背后不知隐藏着怎样的私下交易。这一民族对于他们在二战时加诸周边国家的深重灾难几无忏悔，对于其自身政经环境的颓势毫无反应，唐、宋、明强盛时对我们以儿皇帝岁贡；却在建州女真崛起后，背叛明廷；在清朝主子衰弱不堪时，侵占东北；在战败惶惶无计时，投靠丢了两个原子弹，残杀自己同胞数十万的山姆大叔……见利忘义，未有仁而遗其亲，未有义而后其君，如此堕落，国恒亡。反观中国，一直以泱泱大国自居，中国之意可见自大，对于自身被附属民族侵占，我等国人一直是视而不见，比如蒙古、满清统治后，复宋复明者寥寥，对于日本却是耿耿于怀。难道真是统治凡满五十年者，皆为同类，可惜日本满打满算才混了十来年。陈宏杰博客
日元的问题是日本央行太顾及短期经济衰退，一味以低利率刺激，好比吸毒上瘾，利率多年在零水位，剥削了老百姓的资产，所幸大和民族也深受儒家教育，隐忍不发，致使通缩不可收拾。今年日本大牌企业纷纷巨亏，说明在日本最优秀的企业也已无法维持生计，多年错误的政策终要走到尽头。日元大幅贬值，对日本是唯一可行的选择，日本央行应会乐见市场先生的做法。做多USD/JPY、做多GBP/USD其实是跨品种套保，就美元角度是对冲，账户架构稳定，很好。
账户经过一次结算，结算前数据见《实盘日记45——月报》。
| 初值 | $500,000.00 | |||||||
| 时间 | 终值 | 环比 | 总损益 | 时间 | 终值 | 环比 | 总损益 | |
| 2011/12/09 | $500,000.00 | |||||||
| 2012/01/09 | $534,078.11 | 6.82% | 6.82% | 2012/02/09 | $594,834.48 | 0.31% | 18.97% | |
| 2012/01/13 | $567,456.78 | 6.25% | 13.49% | 2012/02/10 | $595,200.12 | 0.06% | 19.04% | |
| 2012/01/14 | $569,887.18 | 0.43% | 13.98% | 2012/02/13 | $595,680.96 | 0.08% | 19.14% | |
| 2012/01/16 | $569,915.62 | 0.00% | 13.98% | 2012/02/14 | $602,347.20 | 1.12% | 20.47% | |
| 2012/01/17 | $569,963.76 | 0.01% | 13.99% | 2012/02/15 | $603,495.48 | 0.19% | 20.70% | |
| 2012/01/18 | $570,195.56 | 0.04% | 14.04% | 2012/02/16 | $603,797.88 | 0.05% | 20.76% | |
| 2012/01/19 | $570,910.56 | 0.13% | 14.18% | 2012/02/17 | $604,273.24 | 0.08% | 20.85% | |
| 2012/01/20 | $572,462.31 | 0.27% | 14.49% | 2012/02/18 | $611,148.23 | 1.14% | 22.23% | |
| 2012/01/21 | $575,101.00 | 0.46% | 15.02% | 2012/02/20 | $611,278.46 | 0.02% | 22.26% | |
| 2012/01/23 | $575,214.13 | 0.02% | 15.04% | 2012/02/21 | $611,665.93 | 0.06% | 22.33% | |
| 2012/01/24 | $577,350.87 | 0.37% | 15.47% | 2012/02/22 | $611,709.13 | 0.01% | 22.34% | |
| 2012/01/25 | $577,808.39 | 0.08% | 15.56% | 2012/02/23 | $635,685.13 | 3.92% | 27.14% | |
| 2012/01/27 | $584,651.54 | 1.18% | 16.93% | 2012/02/24 | $635,858.40 | 0.03% | 27.17% | |
| 2012/01/28 | $585,197.78 | 0.09% | 17.04% | 2012/02/27 | $659,790.20 | 3.76% | 31.96% | |
| 2012/01/30 | $586,052.78 | 0.15% | 17.21% | 2012/02/28 | $659,833.40 | 0.01% | 31.97% | |
| 2012/01/31 | $586,248.68 | 0.03% | 17.25% | 2012/02/29 | $660,481.40 | 0.10% | 32.10% | |
| 2012/02/01 | $586,921.75 | 0.11% | 17.38% | 2012/03/01 | $663,717.24 | 0.49% | 32.74% | |
| 2012/02/02 | $590,297.15 | 0.58% | 18.06% | 2012/03/02 | $664,235.64 | 0.08% | 32.85% | |
| 2012/02/03 | $590,997.98 | 0.12% | 18.20% | 2012/03/05 | $667,006.35 | 0.42% | 33.40% | |
| 2012/02/04 | $591,848.33 | 0.14% | 18.37% | 2012/03/06 | $667,177.82 | 0.03% | 33.44% | |
| 2012/02/06 | $591,982.60 | 0.02% | 18.40% | 2012/03/07 | $670,004.86 | 0.42% | 34.00% | |
| 2012/02/07 | $592,634.84 | 0.11% | 18.53% | 2012/03/08 | $670,134.46 | 0.02% | 34.03% | |
| 2012/02/08 | $593,025.00 | 0.07% | 18.61% | 2012/03/09 | $670,350.93 | 0.03% | 34.07% | |
| 时间 | 终值 | 环比 | 总损益 | 时间 | 终值 | 环比 | 总损益 | |
| 2012/03/12 | $670,369.20 | 0.00% | 34.07% | 2012/04/10 | $691,132.55 | 0.10% | 38.23% | |
| 2012/03/13 | $671,526.04 | 0.17% | 34.31% | 2012/04/11 | $693,813.11 | 0.39% | 38.76% | |
| 2012/03/14 | $671,592.43 | 0.01% | 34.32% | 2012/04/12 | $694,014.12 | 0.03% | 38.80% | |
| 2012/03/15 | $671,627.09 | 0.01% | 34.33% | 2012/04/16 | $694,684.39 | 0.10% | 38.94% | |
| 2012/03/16 | $671,764.95 | 0.02% | 34.35% | 2012/04/17 | $696,735.00 | 0.30% | 39.35% | |
| 2012/03/20 | $671,809.01 | 0.01% | 34.36% | 2012/04/18 | $697,008.45 | 0.04% | 39.40% | |
| 2012/03/21 | $671,933.26 | 0.02% | 34.39% | 2012/04/23 | $699,582.28 | 0.37% | 39.92% | |
| 2012/03/22 | $673,073.97 | 0.17% | 34.61% | 2012/04/25 | $717,737.11 | 2.60% | 43.55% | |
| 2012/03/23 | $674,104.92 | 0.15% | 34.82% | 2012/04/26 | $718,204.81 | 0.07% | 43.64% | |
| 2012/03/26 | $674,563.95 | 0.07% | 34.91% | 2012/04/27 | $719,545.66 | 0.19% | 43.91% | |
| 2012/03/28 | $675,269.40 | 0.10% | 35.05% | 2012/04/30 | $719,114.55 | -0.06% | 43.82% | |
| 2012/03/29 | $675,963.96 | 0.10% | 35.19% | 2012/05/01 | $719,370.76 | 0.04% | 43.87% | |
| 2012/03/30 | $679,369.53 | 0.50% | 35.87% | 2012/05/02 | $719,653.80 | 0.04% | 43.93% | |
| 2012/04/02 | $681,104.00 | 0.26% | 36.22% | |||||
| 2012/04/04 | $687,197.20 | 0.89% | 37.44% | |||||
| 2012/04/07 | $690,405.38 | 0.47% | 38.08% | |||||
| 2012/04/09 | $690,425.57 | 0.00% | 38.09% |
|
Open Time |
Type |
Item |
Price |
T / P |
|
Price |
Profit |
|
2012.05.01 14:11 |
buy |
gbpusd |
1.61976 |
1.62336 |
2012.05.02 03:58 |
1.62338 |
273.62 |
|
2012.05.01 21:10 |
balance |
|
|
|
|
|
0.18 |
|
2012.05.01 21:10 |
balance |
|
|
|
|
|
-0.36 |
|
2012.05.01 21:10 |
balance |
|
|
|
|
|
12.00 |
|
2012.05.01 21:10 |
balance |
|
|
|
|
|
-1.50 |
|
2012.05.01 21:10 |
balance |
|
|
|
|
|
-1.50 |
|
2012.05.01 21:10 |
balance |
|
|
|
|
|
0.60 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
49,302.87 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Closed P/L: |
49,302.87 |
|
|
Open Trades: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Open Time |
Type |
Item |
Price |
T / P |
|
Price |
Profit |
|
2012.04.30 12:45 |
sell |
eurusd |
1.32228 |
1.31868 |
|
1.32200 |
19.06 |
|
2012.05.01 08:42 |
buy |
eurusd |
1.32691 |
1.33051 |
|
1.32175 |
-351.35 |
|
2012.04.30 12:26 |
buy |
gbpusd |
1.62429 |
1.62685 |
|
1.62208 |
-3 344.05 |
|
2012.05.01 11:41 |
sell |
gbpusd |
1.62204 |
1.61844 |
|
1.62237 |
-24.96 |
|
2012.05.01 15:33 |
sell |
gbpusd |
1.62255 |
1.61895 |
|
1.62237 |
13.61 |
|
2012.04.30 12:41 |
buy |
usdjpy |
80.068 |
90.000 |
|
80.562 |
9 277.96 |
|
2012.04.30 13:48 |
buy |
usdjpy |
79.971 |
90.000 |
|
80.562 |
5 549.87 |
|
2012.05.01 05:05 |
buy |
usdjpy |
79.700 |
90.000 |
|
80.562 |
24 284.20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35 424.34 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Floating P/L: |
35 424.34 |
|
|
Working Orders: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Open Time |
Type |
Item |
Price |
T / P |
Market Price |
|
|
|
2012.04.30 12:45 |
sell limit |
eurusd |
1.33728 |
0.00000 |
|
1.32175 |
Sell.2 |
|
2012.05.01 08:42 |
buy limit |
eurusd |
1.31191 |
0.00000 |
|
1.32200 |
Buy.2 |
|
2012.05.01 11:41 |
sell limit |
gbpusd |
1.62564 |
0.00000 |
|
1.62208 |
Sell.2 |
|
2012.05.01 14:11 |
buy limit |
gbpusd |
1.61616 |
0.00000 |
|
1.62237 |
Buy.2 |
|
2012.05.01 15:33 |
sell limit |
gbpusd |
1.62615 |
0.00000 |
|
1.62208 |
Sell.2 |
|
Summary: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Deposit/Withdrawal: |
670 350.93 |
Credit Facility: |
0.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
Closed Trade P/L: |
49,302.87 |
Floating P/L: |
35 424.34 |
Margin: |
39 600.00 |
||
|
Balance: |
719 653.80 |
Equity: |
755 078.14 |
Free Margin: |
715 478.14 |
||
链接
前四十篇
实盘日记第一篇 《实盘日记⑴——刺猬》
实盘月报二月篇 《实盘日记23——月报》
实盘月报三月篇 《实盘日记45——月报》
实盘月报四月篇 《实盘日记63——月报》
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