欧巴马-罗姆尼电视辩论定于10月举行

标签:
杰克·肯尼迪巴马辩论罗姆尼道格拉斯杂谈 |
分类: 政治与经济 |
候选人在辩论中的表现既可帮助赢得民心,也可适得其反。电视屏幕显示欧巴马总统在2008年辩论中。
2012.09.10
美国国务院国际信息局《美国参考》Stephen Kaufman华盛顿报道——欧巴马总统和他的共和党对手米特·罗姆尼(Mitt Romney)将在十月举行三次90分钟的电视辩论,让举棋不定的选民得到最佳机会,对两位总统候选人进行同时比较;所有观众也可以借此从电视上现场直观欧巴马和罗姆尼应对尖锐提问和随机应变的能力。
资助和主办这项活动的跨党派机构总统辩论委员会(Commission on Presidential Debates)宣布,第一场辩论将于10月3日在丹佛举行,主题围绕美国国内问题。第二场辩论将于10月16日在纽约州的汉普斯特德(Hampstead)举行,采用现场对话会形式,让举棋不定的选民直接提问。最后一场辩论将于10月22日在弗罗里达州的博卡拉顿(Boca Raton)举行,侧重美国外交政策问题。
总统辩论委员会还安排副总统候选人——现任副总统拜登和威斯康星州联邦众议员保尔·瑞安( Paul Ryan )——于10月11日在肯塔基州的丹维尔(Danville)举行辩论。
四位候选人都将从竞选日程中腾出时间, 为辩论作准备,其中包括让陪练人员模仿对手的风格和可能采用的论点,进行模拟辩论。
辩论是否会对投票结果产生影响?有些时候,答案是肯定的。1960年,两大政党的总统候选人理查德·尼克松(Richard Nixon)和约翰·肯尼迪(John Kennedy)在电视上进行了有史以来第一次实况转播辩论,使选民有机会以前所未有的方式目睹和聆听双方候选人并作出比较。电视观众不仅可以评断候选人的讲话内容,而且可以审视他们的个人风格与举止。有意思的是,大多数收音机听众认为尼克松在辩论中占上风,而为数更多的电视观众认为肯尼迪是赢家;这一结果很可能帮助肯尼迪在选举中以微弱优势取胜。
《大西洋》杂志(The Atlantic magazine)撰稿人詹姆斯·法洛斯(James Fallows)在8月23日发表的一篇文章中提出,“在许多辩论场合中,判断'胜利'的最简单方法是,关掉声音,只通过目视来评估候选人是否自如,紧张,幽默以及由其他肢体语言传递的种种特征。”
在美国早年的政治竞选中,辩论不占重要位置,人们认为候选人应该适当避免有向选民拜票或对当选总统过于迫不及待的表示。但是,1858年,联邦参议员候选人亚伯拉罕·林肯(Abraham Lincoln)向对手斯蒂芬·道格拉斯(Stephen Douglas)发出挑战,围绕奴隶制进行一系列公开讨论,也就是人们所称的“林肯-道格拉斯辩论”(the Lincoln-Douglas debates)。
收音机以及后来电视机的问世,导致了在1948年、1952年和1956年三次初选中举行了辩论。但是,直至1960年,美国不曾举行过大选辩论,电视实况辩论更是前所未闻。在肯尼迪-尼克松辩论之后,这种做法一度被废弃。但在1976年,很大程度上由于在职候选人与名列前茅的候选人都不愿让对方有占优势的机会,辩论形式被重新启用。
过去的辩论给人们留下的记忆多限于一些精彩的只言片语或某些言辞举止失误的时刻,而不是那些实质性的辩论内容;有些场景则化为美国政治传说,流传至今。
--1976年,在冷战期间,杰拉尔德·福特(Gerald Ford)总统在一次辩论中坚持说,“不存在苏联对东欧的主宰”,语惊众人。
--1980年,时任州长唐纳德·里根(Ronald Reagan)在对吉米·卡特(Jimmy Carter)总统的口头攻击反唇相讥时所用的“你又来了”这个表达方式,如今成为一句名言。
--1984年,73岁的里根总统针对有些人说他与56岁的对手沃尔特·蒙代尔(Walter Mondale)竞争总统职务已经年事过高幽默地表示,他决不会将年龄作为一个竞选议题,不会“为政治目的而利用我的对手的年轻稚嫩”。
--1988年,民主党副总统候选人劳埃德·本特森(Lloyd Bentsen)在共和党候选人丹·奎尔(Dan Quayle)将自己的资历与曾准备问鼎白宫的杰克·肯尼迪(Jack Kennedy)相提并论时反驳道:“参议员,我曾与杰克·肯尼迪供职。我了解杰克·肯尼迪。杰克·肯尼迪是我的朋友之一。参议员,你完全不配杰克·肯尼迪。”
--在激烈角逐的2000年大选中,据认为,在辩论中,由于民主党候选人阿尔·戈尔(Al Gore)在共和党候选人乔治·W·布什(George W. Bush)讲话时发出明显的叹息声,并且走到布什面前,在台上似摆出威慑姿态而失去了选民支持。
随着2012年辩论日期的临近,如果欧巴马总统与前州长罗姆尼的民调结果越接近,选民和新闻媒体就越会关注辩论,双方的压力也会越大。这将不仅是他们最佳和最后一次争取选民的机会,而且也有可能因一个闪失或一个措词不当的回应而动摇了支持。
2004年,布什总统曾对公共广播电视台(PBS)节目主持人吉姆·莱勒(Jim Lehrer)——他将是10月3日的辩论主持人——说:“总统辩论的有趣之处在于,我从不认为谁会赢,但谁都绝对有可能输。”
Read more: http://iipdigital.usembassy.gov/st/chinese/article/2012/09/20120910135755.html#ixzz268RbYcW5
Obama-Romney TV Debates Set for October
By Stephen Kaufman | Staff Writer | 10 September 2012
A presidential candidate’s performance in live TV debates can strengthen or derail election hopes. Above, candidate Obama's image on TV screens in a 2008 debate.
Washington — President Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney will face off in three 90-minute debates this October, giving still-undecided voters their best chance to compare the two side by side, and allowing all viewers to watch the candidates as they respond to tough questions and react to unscripted moments on live television.
The nonpartisan Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD), which sponsors and produces the contests, has announced the first debate will occur October 3 in Denver and will focus on U.S. domestic issues; the second will be held October 16 in Hampstead, New York, and will have a town hall format, where undecided voters will ask the questions. The final debate will be in Boca Raton, Florida, on October 22 and will focus on U.S. foreign policy.
The CPD has also planned an October 11 vice presidential debate in Danville, Kentucky, between Vice President Biden and Wisconsin Representative Paul Ryan.
All four candidates will be taking time away from the campaign trail to devote to preparation, including practice debates with stand-ins who will try to copy the styles and likely arguments of their opponents.
Do debates decide the outcomes of elections? In some cases, yes. The first televised debate between major party nominees Richard Nixon and John Kennedy in 1960 allowed voters to see, hear and compare the two candidates in a way that never before had been possible. Television viewers could evaluate their style and form as well as the substance of their remarks. Interestingly, most of the radio audience believed Nixon had won the debate, but the larger television audience thought Kennedy won, a response that likely contributed to his narrow victory.
The Atlantic magazine's James Fallows argued in an August 23 article that “the easiest way to judge ‘victory’ in many debates is to watch with the sound turned off, so you can assess the candidates’ ease, tenseness, humor, and other traits signaled by their body language.”
In early U.S. political races, debates did not play a role because candidates were expected to modestly refrain from appealing to voters or appearing too eager for the job. However, in 1858, Abraham Lincoln, then a candidate for the U.S. Senate, challenged rival Stephen Douglas to a series of public discussions over the issue of slavery, which became known as “the Lincoln-Douglas debates.”
The emergence of radio and later television helped lead to three primary election debates in 1948, 1952 and 1956. But, until 1960, there never had been a debate for the general election, let alone a televised contest. After the Kennedy-Nixon debate, the format was discontinued until 1976, largely because of the reluctance of incumbents and front-runners to give their opponents any potential advantage.
Past debates are remembered more for clever one-liners and gaffes than for what was actually discussed, and some moments have made their way into American political legend.
- In 1976, during the Cold War, President Gerald Ford surprised many by insisting in a debate that ,“There is no Soviet domination of Eastern Europe.”
- In 1980, then-Governor Ronald Reagan dismissed President Jimmy Carter’s verbal attacks with the now-famous line “There you go again.”
- The 73-year-old President Reagan humorously disarmed charges in 1984 that he was too old for the job compared to 56-year-old challenger Walter Mondale by pledging not to make age a campaign issue and “exploit for political purposes my opponent's youth and inexperience.”
- 1988 Democratic vice presidential candidate Lloyd Bentsen struck back against Republican candidate Dan Quayle’s assertion that he was as experienced as John F. Kennedy was when he became president by saying, “Senator, I served with Jack Kennedy. I knew Jack Kennedy. Jack Kennedy was a friend of mine. Senator, you're no Jack Kennedy.”
- In the closely contested 2000 election, Democrat Al Gore is believed to have lost voter support during debates by audibly sighing during Republican George W. Bush’s remarks, and by walking up to Bush and appearing to try to intimidate him on stage.
As the 2012 debates approach, the closer President Obama and former Governor Romney are in the public opinion polls, the more attention voters and the news media will be paying to the contests, and the pressure on each candidate will be high. It is not only one of their best and last chances to win voters, but it is also a huge opportunity to erode support as the result of a mistake or a wrongly worded response.
In 2004, President George W. Bush remarked to PBS’ Jim Lehrer, who will be moderating the October 3 debate, that "the interesting thing about presidential debates is that I don't think you ever win them, but you darn sure can lose them."
Read more: http://iipdigital.usembassy.gov/st/english/article/2012/09/20120906135583.html#ixzz268RdLpBi