中美选择合作还是对抗
(2012-01-13 09:25:51)
标签:
杂谈 |
Path of cooperation over confrontation
By Chen Weihua
For the past week, I have seen Americans painting starkly different blueprints for relations between China and the United States.
On the one hand, Maurice Greenberg, chairman and CEO of C.V. Starr & Co, wrote on the Wall Street Journal on Monday, arguing it’s time for a China-US Free Trade Agreement.
Greenberg also agrees that talks will not be easy and there will be numerous impasses. He believes that even if the two countries fail to reach an agreement on many issues, progress should be possible on some issues and that will create a better trade climate. He says that although negotiations may take up to 10 years, just the attempt to reach an agreement will have major benefits.
One major benefit he cites for the US is the possible Chinese direct investment in modernizing infrastructure in the US. “China does not have to invest here, but it is to our country’s advantage to have China invest here rather than in other countries,” he says.
Greenberg, the former chairman of American International Group (AIG), knows both countries well. He has made many trips to China and served as chairman of the International Business Leaders Advisory Council for the Mayor of Shanghai in 1990 and similar positions in China. I was deeply impressed by his wisdom whether interviewing him in Shanghai in the early 1990s or listening to him moderating talks at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York the past two years.
What Greenberg has proposed is a bright path for strengthened cooperation between the two largest and complementary economies in the world. Despite the differences, China and the US must work together in the 21st century to ensure peace and development. That will be a big boon not just for Chinese and Americans, but people all over the world.
On the other hand, messages released a week ago by US President Barack Obama and Defense Secretary Leon Panetta in the new strategic review is quite disturbing. China has been singled out, along with Iran and North Korea, as a potential adversary as the US starts to shift its military plan to Asia-Pacific.
Without doubt this will be great news for the military industries, which are trying to secure more funding from the Congress and the government. After the Soviet Union dissolved, fear-mongering about China is probably the most effective way to keep the monstrous US military spending. Even Obama admitted that despite the $450 billion cuts in US defense spending over the next decade, the defense budget will continue to grow and be larger than the next 10 countries combined.
But other US experts, such as former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, General Stephen Cheney and Joshua Foust of the American Security Project, have reminded people that the prospect of a major conflict with China is remote, and assuming one poses the danger of becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Long-time US Congressman Barney Frank has dismissed the saying that China might block the South China Sea by saying that China’s economic prosperity depends on the free navigation in South China as much as anyone else.
Already, experts in Indonesia have cautioned their government not to take a stance that will be regarded as support for US policy in the Asia-Pacific.
I don’t think many Chinese have ever thought about military confrontation with the US. This is not just because US military superiority leaves China far behind. More importantly, any armed conflict will be disastrous for China, a nation which desperately needs peace and stability to develop trade and economy.
It seems that the one-week-old US strategic review should be reviewed again in order to correct the wrong and dangerous message.