不久前我在美國由科斯生前創辦的刊物發表了下面的英語文章。多年沒有用英文下筆,文筆生硬,如插水式地下降了。中文不會這樣,可惜今天的同學不能學英文。
但文章是重要的。科斯定律不僅錯,而且錯得嚴重。然而,該定律的重要性不減,因為它提出了一個新的角度看問題。但這角度其實是奈特一九二四年早就提出的,科斯只是說得清楚一點。文章寫得不夠清晰,要付出很大的代價。
在文內我也提出自己創立的“交易費用替代定律”,同學們可以比較一下奈特、科斯和我這三個人的水平,孰高孰低也(一笑)。
還有另一篇英語文章算是寫好了的,比本文重要,但要在五月在美國的刊物發表後才在這裡刊登。
張五常
二〇二一年二月十五日
On a Fallacy in the
CoaseTheorem
and the Theorem of
Transaction
CostsSubstitution
Steven N.S. Cheung*
Sixtyyears have lapsed since Ronald Coase published “The Problem of
Social Cost,” (fn1)and I am delighted to see Steven G. Medema’s
piece entitled “The Coase Theoremat Sixty.” (fn2)
This paper runs 125pages in fine prints, citing a total of 856
references. A mind-boggling endeavor, and it
reminds meof what George Stigler said of Piero Sraffa’s work on
David Ricardo: “Here is atask that needs not be performed again.”
(fn3)
Medemaaside, however, there are some errors in circulation on the
dates of events,and there are some facts distorted by
rumors. As myself an old man now, once befriended
by Coase and his associates, Ido possess first-hand information on
how the wonderful ideas of Coase cameabout. In
doing so I should also pointout a major fallacy in the Coase
Theorem. Not meant to belittle that theorem, of
course. The Coase Theorem will godown in history as certainly as
Say’s Law.
The term“Coase Theorem” was coined by George J.
Stigler. He told me in person his view that the
CoaseTheorem was the single most important idea in 20th
centuryeconomics. It would be difficult to
arguewith George on this: he was the leading historian of economic
thought of thatentire century.
Section I:The Legendary Debate of the Century
First about dates. “The Problem of SocialCost”
appeared in the 1960 issue of the Journal of
Law and Economics,but that issue did not appear until the early
summer of 1961. On the other hand, the Coase
Theorem did notappear in that “social cost” paper—in my view, the
so-called “InvariantTheorem” attributed to the 1960 “social cost”
paper is not a theorem. Rather, the theorem was
first enunciated in1959, in a more beautiful paper by Coase on “The
Federal CommunicationsCommission.” (fn4) In that 1959 piece there
is one sentence that says: “Thedelineation of rights is an
essential prelude to market transactions.” This
statement is the Coase Theorem in itscomplete
form.
Theintroduction of transaction costs in the following 1960 piece,
thoughimportant, only supports the working of the theorem stated in
1959. However, as will be seen later in this
paper,it is in the introduction of transaction costs that Coase
committed a seriouserror.
There wereconsiderable confusions on the exact issue which led to
the legendary debate inAaron Director’s home in the spring of
1960. What is known for certain is that when the
FCC paper was submitted toAaron Director at the University of
Chicago, a galaxy of stars at Chicagoopposed to a key point Coase
made. Exactly what that point was, is a question somefuture
historians of economic thought would want to
know. Coase told me it had something to do with
aparking lot. His strongest critic atthat time,
Reuben Kessel, also told me it was about a parking
lot. Reuben passed away in 1975, and now I
findtwo places in the FCC paper where the phrase “parking lot” is
mentioned. I put both of them below for the
readers toconsider.
On page 14of the FCC paper, Coase wrote:
If
one person could use a piece of land for growing a crop,
and
then another person could come along and build a house
on
the land used for the crop, and then another could come
along,
tear down the house, and use the space as a parking lot,
it
would no doubt be accurate to describe the resulting situation
as
chaos. But it would be wrongto blame this on
private enterprise
and
the competitive system. Aprivate-enterprise
system cannot
function
properly unless property rights are created in resources,
and,
when this is done, someone wishing to use a resource has to
pay
the owner to obtain it. Chaosdisappears; and so
does the
government
except that a legal system to define property rights
and
to arbitrate disputes is, of course, necessary.
But there is
certainly
no need for the kind of regulation which we now find
in
the American radio and television industry.
Then onpage 25:
It
is clear that, if signals are transmitted simultaneously on a
given
frequency
by several people,the signals would interfere with each
other
and would make reception of the messages transmitted by
any
one person difficult if not impossible. The use
of a piece of
land
simultaneously for growingwheat and as a parking lot would
produce
similar results. As wehave seen in an earlier
section, the
way
this situation is avoided is to create property rights (rights,
that
is,
to exclusive use) in land. The creation of similar
rights in the use
of
frequencies would enable the problem to be solved in the same
way
in the radio industry.
We today would not see anything wrong with
thearguments in the two paragraphs above, but in 1959 the
understanding of thesocial cost issue was
relatively weak even at
Chicago: they were still onthe level with Pigou. (fn5) It was on
the issue of the radio frequencyinterference and the parking lot
interference that Aaron Director urged Coase, who
was then at the University ofVirginia, to come to Chicago to
clarify his position. Coase responded that he
would not give a lecturebut would be glad to discuss the issue with
a selected group of economists.
Thediscussion that turned out to be a heated debate is legendary,
and no doubtwill be recorded in the future history of economic
thought. There now exist a number of different
versionsof that debate, including one of over 100
participants. Myversion must be accurate, because
among the 10 participants
I was acquainted with
eight of them. The ten participants were Martin
Bailey,Milton Friedman, Arnold Harberger, Reuben Kessel, Gregg
Lewis, John McGee,
Lloyd Mints, George
Stigler, Ronald Coase, and AaronDirector.
Afterdinner, in Aaron’s home, Ronald opened with the question: when
a factorypollutes the residents nearby, should this factory be held
liable for thedamage? Or should the residents pay
thefactory owner to reduce the pollution? The
proper answer, as we know it today, is that on efficiency grounds
itdoes not matter, so long as the right to pollute or not to
pollute is clearlydelineated so that the market will work its
magic.
McGee toldme that during the debate Harberger was moving furniture
around in Director’shouse to form a fence to check the movements of
the cattle, yet Al did notrecall himself doing
so. There wererumors that the Coase Theorem was
first stated by Milton Friedman, who waspresent in that legendary
debate, and not by Coase himself. Yet when I
pressed Milton on that rumor, hedenied the glory, saying it all
belongs to Coase. Coase, however, told me that
after more thantwo hours of debate, he was a bit doubtful of his
own thinking, although hestill believed he was right: it was the
thirty minutes of Friedman summarizingthe main points of his
arguments in that evening, with such great clarity, thathe knew he
was home free. Stigler’sversion supports Coase’s
version. He told me that after more than two hours ofdebate the
issue was undecided. Milton stood up and opened fire, and
thebullets hit everybody except Coase. Harry
Johnson, who was in London at that time, sent a cable to
theEconomics Department at Chicago the next day, saying that he
heard anEnglishman has discovered a new continent
again. Reuben Kessel, who had been the
strongestopponent to Coase’s argument, told me in 1972 that we
would have to go all theway back to Adam Smith to find an economist
of Coase’s level.
Afterthis legendary debate and as the participants were leaving
Director’s home,McGee recalled, they were mumbling to each other
that they had just witnessedintellectual history.
Aaron Director,who was editor of the Journal of
Law and Economics at that time, told metwo
matters of interest. First, Coase toldme he was
rushing to submit the manuscript to Aaron because the deadline
ofsubmission was already passed, so he wrote and submitted the 1960
paper sectionby section. But Aaron told me he
could notcare less when would Coase complete that
paper: his journal could wait for years if needed
be. Second, knowing
the Journal of Law and Economicspaid
authors at that time, I asked Aaron how much his journal paid Coase
forthat 1960 piece, he replied that the University of Chicago
regulated the feespaid to authors by the page, otherwise he would
give Coase all the money at hisdisposal. Knowing
Aaron, my guess isthat he would not mind closing his precious
journal down after Coase’s 1960paper.
I must takepride to add here that Aaron liked my
works! In the spring of 1969 I presented my paper
on the choice of contracts inStigler’s workshop.
A day later I alonewas having lunch at the Quadrangle Club at
Chicago, I saw Aaron walking slowlytowards me. I
politely stood up, and Aaronsaid, “The paper you presented
yesterday is the best I have read in
severalyears.” Then he turned and
walkedaway. I was still standing, and tearscame
down from my eyes. And when aftersome 12 yeas of
research I finally published “The Contractual Nature of theFirm”
(fn6) in 1983, Aaron had someone brought me a simple message: After
Steve’spaper, the quarrel on what a firm is exists no more.
Section II: The Unfortunate
Neglect of Frank Knight
It is unfortunate that in Coase’s 1959 paperon
the FCC and his 1960 paper on social cost, no reference is made on
amagnificent 1924 paper, entitled “Some Fallacis in the
Interpretation of SocialCost,” written by Frank Knight. (fn7)
Knight made exactly the same point in 1924as Coase did in 1959 and
1960. Coasewent to the University of Chicago in
1931, from London on a travellingscholarship, and audited Knight’s
lectures. He must be familiar with Knight’s
classic work.
Knight’s1924 paper rebuts Pigou’s work on social cost. (fn8) He
took issue on Pigou’sfamous example of two roads.
Two roads,both going from Town A to Town B, one road is narrow but
well-paved, and theother is broad but poorly surfaced. Pigou argued
that the congestion of cars willoccur on the good road, with the
drivers slowing each other down, hence asocial cost problem exists,
and this problem could be resolved if a tax isimposed on the use of
the good road, while those using the broad but poor road,though
with more cars but still with no congestion, are not
harmed. Hence a tax imposed by the government for
theuse of the good road will reduce the divergence between private
and socialcosts.
Thefollowing comment by Knight on this two-road example is
profoundly brilliant,which in my view is a Coase Theorem of the
1924 version.
Knightwrote:
Professor Pigou’slogic in regard to the roads is, as logic,
quiteunexceptionable. It weakness is
onefrequently
met
with in economictheorizing, namely that the
assumptions divergein essential respects from the facts
of real economicsituations. The most essential
featureof
competitive
conditions isreversed, the feature namely, of
the privateownership of the factors practically significant
for production. If the roads are assumed to be
subject to
private
appropriationand exploitation, precisely the ideal
situation whichwould be established by the imaginary tax
will be broughtabout through the operation of ordinary
economic
motives.
Yes, thisis the 1924 version of the Coase Theorem, 36 years before
what was
enunciated by R.H.
Coase.
To myknowledge, Pigou never replied to Knight’s challenge, except
his famoustwo-road example was deleted in the later edition
of The Economics ofWelfare.
It isimportant--very important-- to note that by “assumptions”
Frank Knight meantthe constraints assumed! And
this is thespotlight guiding literally all my own
research. I was delighted that in an earlier
write-upof Frank Knight in Wikipedia, my
name was one among five economistsinfluenced by Knight, but then
was disappointed that in a later version onKnight, the names were
changed.
I wish to note that in
December 1968, in Bob Mundell’slavish cocktail party, I had the
honor of meeting Knight and told him in personhow much I adored him
and learned from his 1924 paper. He looked at me
for a long moment, and said,“That was a long time ago!”
Section III: OceanFishery and the Dissipation
of Rent
Another unfortunate omission of
Knight’spathbreaking work of 1924 is found in yet another important
paper, the one onocean fishery as a common property
resource. This beautiful piece, written by H.
Scott Gordon in 1954, made noreference to Knight, but the geometric
diagrams Gordon used were essentially Knight’sdiagrams, as tilted
mirror images and relabeling the axes. (fn 9) What Knightdrew to
describe Pigou’s two roads now becomes two fishing grounds in
Gordon’spaper.
Theimportant--very important--conclusions in Gordon’s insightful
work is that theocean rent that may be captured in fishing is
absorbed into the cost of fishinglabor and therefore is dissipated
under competition, because the ocean fishingground is not privately
owned. To myknowledge, the term “dissipation of
rent,” which I use often, was first coinedby
Gordon. In my view, the frequent useof this
concept of rent dissipation is one distinguishing feature of what
laterbecame known as the Washington School of Economics. (fn
10)
However,Gordon’s analysis of the dissipation of rent in ocean
fishery is flawed. As I pointed out in my 1970
paper on thestructure of a contract, the complete dissipation of
rent in ocean fisheryrequires the number of competing fishing boats
be approaching infinity. I reached this
interesting result byextending Cournot’s duopoly analysis while
allowing free entry with homogeneousfishing inputs. That is, even
if the ocean is under common ownership so that nocompeting fishing
boat has the right to exclude other entrants, some ocean rentwill
be captured by each fishing-boat owner so long as the number of
fishingboats is in some way restrained. This ismy
explanation why unions of various types are so commonly observed in
oceanfishery! In fact, my analysis says thatthe
more restrictive it is on the number of fishing boats, the more the
oceanrent will be captured by each of the boat owners.
Section IV: A Key Error in
the Coase Theorem
Let menow turn to what in my view is a serious error in the Coase
Theorem. I take issue with a key statement he
made atthe beginning of Section IV of his 1960 paper, when he
stated his analysis isbased on “the pricing system is assumed to
work smoothly (that is,costlessly).” This is the
notedassumption of zero transaction cost and the functioning of the
market. However, as pointed out in my
work WillChina Go Capitalist?,
published in1982 (fn 11), I wrote that if
transaction costs were truly zero there would beno market:
If all transactioncosts, broadly defined, were truly zero,
it would have to beaccepted that consumer preferences
would
be revealed withoutcost. Auctioneers and
monitors
would provide freeall the services of gathering and collating
information; workersand other factors of production would
be directed freelyto produce in perfect accord with
consumer preferences;and each consumer would receive
goods and servicesin conformity with his
preferences. The
total
income received byeach worker (consumer), as
determined costlesslyby an arbitrator, would equal his
marginal productivityplus a share of the rents of all resources
according
to any of a numberof criteria costlessly agreed upon.
In other words,production and consumption activities can in
principle be carriedout without a market, to produce the same
result as thoughcostless markets were in operation.
This viewis important, and Kenneth Arrow immediately agreed with me
when he read it. Coase also agreed with me a
littlelater. However, the full implications
ofthis view took me nearly 25 years to
obtain.
Section V: TheTheorem of Transaction Costs
Substitution
The greatpuzzle is that there are in fact markets in the real
world, and by our dailyobservations there are numerous types of
transaction costs associated with thesemarkets.
If all transaction costs weretruly zero there would be no market,
then it makes no sense to say that marketsexist because of the
presence of transaction costs. Why do markets
exist after all?
Myjourney to solve this major puzzle involved several
steps. First, different types of transaction
costsoften cannot be logically separated, as a toll collector at
the entrance of ahighway performs both the functions of collecting
tolls and policing againstintruders. Second,
under thisinseparable rule and pushing this rule to the limit,
transaction costs mustinclude all those costs that cannot be
conceived to exist in a one-person orRobinson Crusoe economy. On
this point George Stigler agreed, and it was laterelaborated in my
paper entitled “The Transaction Costs Paradigm”. (fn12)
Third,the dissipation of rent is a cost, and because this
dissipation can only be theresult of competition, it cannot be
conceived to exist in a one-maneconomy.
Therefore, rent dissipation istransaction cost.
For example, if theprice of a product is restricted by control to
below the market price,customers would have to stand in line for,
say, half an hour for a purchase,the value of standing time must be
added to the price of the product to thebuyer to obtain its true
value. Hencethe value of the product reduced is a
dissipation of rent.
Fourth—and
this the key--of the numerous criteria that may be used
todetermine winners or losers under competition in society, only
the market priceentails no dissipation of rent.
This isbecause in a free market one has to produce something before
he can offer toexchange for something else.
Theratio of that exchange is the market price, and because one has
to producesomething to participate in this competition game, there
is no dissipation ofrent.
Hencecomes a beautiful “Theorem of Transaction Costs
Substitution”: In order toreduce rent
dissipation under competition in a society, all the transaction
costsincurred in the market—lawyers, bankers, policemen, middlemen,
etc.— are meantto support the use of the one single criterion of
determining winners whichentails no rent dissipation, namely, the
market price! In other words, the transaction
costsincurred in the market are meant to substitute or reduce the
dissipation ofrent—another type of transaction costs—which must
arise when the market price isnot used.
The ideathat the market price is
the only criterion of
determining winners andlosers that entails no dissipation of rent
was known to me when I was agraduate student, and an elaborate
theoretic treatment of the subject is seenin my piece on price
control, published in 1974. (fn 13) However, putting otherelements
together to obtain the above Theorem of Transaction Costs
Substitutiontook a long time. There are
numerousother important implications associated with this theorem,
because the choiceamong different contracts necessarily entails
transaction costs substitution(fn 14). However,
if confined to thesubstitution between the costs of using the
market price and the dissipation ofrent, the theorem is relatively
simple and straight forward. In my view, this
latter substitution is atthe core of the theorem of transaction
costs substitution which I propoundhere.
In 1979, when China was just talking aboutopening
up, I published an article in the Chinese language, bearing the
title “OneThousand Rules, Ten Thousand Rules, in Economics There is
Only One Rule.” (fn 15)This piece forcefully argues that of the
numerous rules that may be used toallocate resources under
competition, nearly all entail rent dissipation.
All except one—the market price—which entailsno rent
dissipation. Some friends toldme that that
article was widely circulated in Beijing, leading to complaintsthat
the government turned to charge prices for everything.
It was not easyfor me to convince my Beijing friends, however, that
private property rightsare essential for the emergence of markets
and the use of market prices. It is at this
critical point that Coase’sidea of clear delineation of rights
works magic. The Chinese culture isallergic to the word “private”,
but clear delineation of rights they were eagerto
accept. This is the central contributionof
Coase’s works on the economic transformation of China.
It isinteresting to note here that in my 1981 pamphlet bearing the
title WillChina Go Capitalist?, which
correctly predicted that China will reform tobecome a market
economy, the underlying elements of an implicit theoreticstructure
is essentially the same as the Theorem of Transaction
CostsSubstitution which I discuss here. Ittook
more than 30 years to put the elements together to form an
integratedtheorem.
Section
VI: Episodes toRemember
Inclosing, I would like to recall a fond memory in my last meeting
with Coase.
It was in December,1990
when Ronald was awarded theNobel Prize. Because
that was the 90thanniversary of that prize, all the living Nobel
laureates were invited toStockholm for a massive
gathering. Mywife and I were also invited to
attend this gathering. The reason is that in the
evening before thePrize was awarded, there was a dinner party for
all Nobel laureates ineconomics, and I as the only non-winner was
asked to give a talk at thatdinner, on behalf of Coase, because
Ronald had to rest to prepare for theexcitement coming the next
day. Two economistsgave talks during that dinner
party, Kenneth Arrow and I myself.
Ronald, Marian,Milton, Rose, my wife and myself were together for
several days. Two days before the award ceremony,
Ronalddelivered his Nobel Lecture. During
thatlecture, my wife and I were arranged to sit next to Rose and
Milton. It was a huge hall, filled with people,
and athunderous standing applause sounded when Ronald was slowly
walking down theaisle towards the podium. We all
stoodup, and Milton was standing next to me. I
whispered to Milton: “Do you think this guy deserve this
prize?” He replied:” You mean Ronald? He should
havewon it a long time ago!”
Ronald hada deep feeling for China ever since he was a boy, but had
never visitedChina. In 2013, a few months
beforeRonald passed away, he was to travel to China to see
me. Everything was arranged.
His expired passport was renewed, and my wifereserved a hotel suite
with a nice view for him and his helper. He was
to join us in Shanghai on October 1,the beginning of a ten-day
holiday. I had arranged a team of doctors to standby just in case
medical assistance was needed. I had also alerted
several universities in that region for Ronald
tovisit. I wanted Ronald to know howunique a hero
he was in the eyes of millions of Chinese youths.
China owed this man for his ideas, and Iwanted Ronald to see the
gratitude with his own eyes.
But It wasnot to be. Ronald passed away
onSeptember 2, 2013, at the age of 102.
Footnote
References
*Professoremeritus, University of Hong Kong. The ideas contained in
this paper are takenfrom Section IV, Chapter 2, Book V of a
five-volume treatise
entitled EconomicExplanation, written in
the Chinese language. In
the preparation of this paper I
was assisted by Shihan Shen, Yan Zhou, NingWang, and Gary Shiu.
1.
Coase, Ronald. 1960. The Problem
of Social Costs,” Volume 3, October, Journal of
Law andEconomics, pp. 1 – 44.
2.
Medema,Steven. Forthcoming, “Coase Theorem
atSixty”, Journal of Economic
Literature.
3.
Stigler, George.1953. “Sraffa’s Ricardo,” Volume 43,
September, American Economic Review,pp.
586-599.
4.
Coase, Ronald. 1959. “The Federal
CommunicationsCommission,” Volume 2,
October, Journal of Law and Economics, pp.
1-40.
5.
Pigou, Arthur.
1920. TheEconomics of
Welfare. London:Macmillan.
6. Journal
of Law andEconomics, Vol. 26, April 1983, pp.1-26.
7.
Knight, Frank. 1924. “Some Fallacies in the
Interpretationof Social Cost,” Volume 38 Number 4,
August, Quarterly Journal of Economics,pp.
582-606.
8.
See Footnote 5.
9.
Gordon, H. Scott,“The Economic Theory of a Common Property
Resource: The Fishery,” Journal ofPolitical
Economy, (April, 1954).
10.
The existence of a unique Washington School
ofEconomics is likely first mentioned by Douglas North in
his Institutions,Institutional Change and
Economic Performance, published in 1990 by theCambridge
University Press. On page 27of the book, he wrote
in a footnote that “[t]he transaction cost approach isconsistent
only in its agreement on the importance of transaction costs; it
isfar from unified in other aspects. Theapproach
developed here might most appropriately be characterized as
theUniversity of Washington approach, originated by Steven Cheung
.” Robert Higgs, who was once
on the faculty atUniversity of Washington, wrote in 1991 that “I
call this proposition, which isa more sophisticated variant of the
modernization hypothesis, the theory of theWashington
School. Its prime proponentis Douglas North…North
draws on theoretical work on measurement and transactioncosts by
Steven N.S. Cheung (formerly University of Washington) and
YoramBarzel (still there).” See Robert
Higgs,1991, “Eighteen Problematic Propositions in the Analysis of
the Growth ofGovernment,” Volume 5, Number 1 and
2, The Review of Austrian Economics,pp.
3-40. Commenting on my role in
thefounding of the Washington School, Deirdre McCloskey at the
University ofIllinois at Chicago said back in 2017 that, “[h]is
main legacy was persuadingDouglas North at Washington to take
property rights seriously in economichistory. No
Cheung, no North.” The quote is
from “ Responses to an Inquiryon S. N. S. Cheung’s Economics after
a Conference on the Matter in Shenzhen,China, November 2017”. It
could accessed via the following link: http://deirdremccloskey.org/docs/pdf/McCloskey_CheungianEconomics.pdf
11.
Cheung, Steven.1981. Will
China Go Capitalist? AnEconomic Analysis of Property Rights and
Institutional Change. London: Institute of
Economic Affairs.
12.
S. N. S. Cheung, “The Transaction Costs
Paradigm,” Economic Inquiry, October 1998.
This is the only work of mine which Milton Friedman gavedetailed
comments, word by word, line by line, and rendered the verdict that
Ialone occupy a position in this paradigm.
13.
See S. N. S. Cheung, “A Theory of PriceControl,”
Volume 17, April 1974, Journal of Law and
Economics, pp.53-71.
14.
SeeS.N.S.Cheung, “Transaction Costs, Risk
Aversion, and the Choice of ContractualArrangements,” Volume 12,
April 1969, Journal of Law and
Economics,pp,23-42.
15.
Thepiece is written in Chinese, “千規律,萬規律,經濟規律僅一條”
(One Tousand Rules, Ten TousandRules, in Economics There is Only
One
Rule),
originally published in October1979 in the Hong
Kong Economic
Journal
Monthly, Volume 3,Number 7.
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