Despite his many controversies, Steven Cheung might be the only
economist that has offered a comprehensive explanation of China's
miraculous ascendancy in economic pecking order during the past
three decades.
His latest work, The Economic System of China, attempts to explain
China's economic success from the perspectives of contracts and
sharecropping. His theories rest on two of his seminal work, The
Theory of Share Tenancy and The Contractual Nature of The Firm,
that laid out the foundation of neo-institutional
economics.
However, his contribution has been ignored in the economics
profession. The recent Nobel economics prize was awarded to two
economists who studied the problem of rent dissipation of common
resources, a field that Cheung had ploughed and sown seeds
well
This article highlights an important demographic shift in China.
Fewer students are entering the job market because the one-child
policy's consequences finally come into play. It carries two
implications. First, those who are already a professional will
enjoy higher salaries (due to less competition). Second, schools
and universities will face redundancies in teachers and teaching
facilities. Bad news for business owners and teachers unless they
find a way to treat employees and students better.
China's media independence has come a long way among countless
setbacks. One recent setback involves the departure of Hu Shuli,
the chief editor of Caijing, an outspoken business magazine in
China. It's a rare thing that such a magazine could have survived
the stiffening media control on the mainland for ten years. It's
even rarer that Hu Shuli could have been tolerated time and again
after she disclosed one dirty secrete after another on China's
corruptive business circles. For some her resignation is just a
worry that becomes true. For the entire business world, her opting
out is another dim hope crushed. She vowed to return. So she did
it. This time in an academic journal. Will she be able to turn the
little-known News Magazine into another Caijing? Will her
incisiveness be backed firmly by her new sp
The passing of Paul Samuelson spurred hot debate among economists
on whether mathematical modelling of the economy was what made the
mess today. Now the focus has been shifted to the economics
profession as a whole. The economics profession, however, has been
on the decline the moment when mathematics was upheld as the main
subject. Mathematicians and physicists, among other science subject
disciples, took refuge in economics, failing to realize their
potential from where they came from. Economics papers abounded in
mathematical formulas and jargons. Those who strenuously took
economics as it is, i.e. to formulate a perspective to explain and
uate an economic problem, were under attack for not containing
enough mathematics in their writings. Old dogs gave way to new
mathematical aspirants. An adverse sel
One of the key roles played by an underwriting investment bank
is to support and stabilize the market once the new shares start
trading. Usually the fall of share price below its initial offering
level indicates the existence of over-pricing, which would harm the
reputation of the newly-listed firm. Although much could be done
before the trading date such as correct valuation, investor
education, careful investor selection, the investment bank cannot
control where the share price would eventually end up several days
following the debut. What it could do is stabilize the price by
intervening in the market, i.e. buying back some of the shares from
those who want to get rid of them, usually small retail investors
aiming at making quick profits. That’s why institutional investors
are preferred and often touted at in the first place. They form
corner stones to counter share price fluctuations. Despite this,
investment banks nevertheless would have to put their own money at
risk to suppo
The world population is projected to reach 9 billion in 40 years,
despite the drop in world fertility rates.
Arable land is
limited so crop yield enhancing is crucial to feed ever more
mouths.
Companies that help boost crop yields are welcome. One
such company is Monsanto, a chemical and agricultural company from
the US that is notorious for inventing Agent Orange, a deadly
chemical that caused body deformations to those victims of Vietnam
war. However, it has helped raise America's average crop yield
significantly above world average by its GM seeds and Roundup, a
chemical weed killer.
The controversy is whether it is a sinner or a saint
as the recent issue of The Economist debates.
罗杰斯的投资秘笈 - 《水晶球》(2009-09-06 15:25)
秘笈一,自制投资表格
罗杰斯一直都记得1968年,当他开始在华尔街闯荡时,正是华尔街激情燃烧的岁月,股价常在一周内就翻了数倍。有一天,一个经纪人急急忙忙地来找他屋里的另一个分析师,他当时正在动手做一张金融总分析表格,经纪人就问他:“你做什么呢?”罗杰斯告诉对方自己的手头工作。此人不屑一顾地打击他说:“现在没人做这个。”
罗杰斯成名华尔街后,他的总分析表也广为流传。一开始,他的总分析表做得非常简单。罗杰斯会把利润率、净资产收益率,以及此前该公司的历史走势和状况列出来;随着年份增加,他会加入其他的数据,比如应收账款、库存等数据。从这些数字就可以看出这家公司的经营状况及走势。他的总分析表的时间跨度一般为10一15年,他认为这有利于自己用历史的眼光看待一家公司的发展。
Subprime mortgage might not be the smoking gun.
A recent
paper shows that the deterioration in US subprime
mortgage after 2004 could not explain the collapse of the subprime
market. The paper demonstrated that the underwriting standards
for US subprime mortgages had not weakened prior to the financial
meltdown in 2008 as had been commonly believed. It is likely that
the subprime mortgage was designed as 'bridge finance' to extend
credit to borrowers to make quick gains from house price
appreciation. Since 1995 and before 2006, house prices in the US
had kept appreciating. During this period, subprime mortgage
default rates were low as distressed borrowers could prepay either
by refinance or by sale. However, once the house price failed to
appreciate in 2006, subsequent subprime mortgage borrowers were in
trouble making payments and default rates spiked.
RMB to become a global currency?
News had it that RMB is to become the global currency, with
all the likelihood that it would replace the USD in the near
future. Is this possible?
China is certainly motivated to depend less on the dollar.
Sitting on a pile of the US currency, China is anxious to have the
Fed behave in a responsible manner. The recent spike in the yield
of long-term Treasury bonds kept China's central bankers awake at
night. Depreciation of the green buck would mean all the
hard-earned savings would be eroded by inflation. Nothing would
suit China better than have the savings measured on its
terms.
Currency serves three purposes: as unit of measure, as medium
of exchange and store of value. And the significance of a currency
depends on the strength of the economy it represents. No wonder US
dollar dominated the world. Now times have changed. The US economy
has been hit hard
Green Dam and HKU's mainland recruitment interview
The Green Dam saga has also entered University of Hong Kong's
(HKU) recruitment interview question list. The question list
challenges the mainland candidate to jump out of their mental box
and also demonstrates how Hong Kong's tertiary education values
individual thinking and creativity.
In June, potential mainland candidates were invited by HKU's
recruitment teachers to attend interviews, during which they were
asked to expressed their views on subjects ranging from Michael
Jackson to Green Dam. Some were apparently caught off guard.
Michael Jackson's passing was indeed a hit but his personality and
influence was less illuminated than his songs among the young. Also
less discussed is the news that the Green Dam is going to be
installed on all new PCs shipped after July 1.
As I was among the first few who went to study at a Hong Kong
unive