2009年4月24日
1，从3月18日开始的8成仓位，今日降至2成，并进行了一些调仓。
2，从波浪分析来看，从1664反弹至今，最高至2579点。在这期间，尽管上证指数和深圳成指均出现了四浪与一浪重合的情况。但其他指数，如中小板指数去出现了明显的五浪推动。因此，如果将（1664-2579）划为三浪结构，则B浪或B浪a有结束之嫌。如果将其（1664-2579）划为五浪结构，则随后会有一个B-b，然后仍然会有一个五郎推动，这种情况较为乐观。目前，防范风险为第一位。将近25周的反弹，具有B浪明显的特征——赝品。
c，接下来可能的调整从性质上来讲有两种可能：一为大C，二为B-b。从大A持续时间和目前反弹时间的对比来看，比较倾向于后
官员们称，奥巴马政府拟公布的一些照片反映了美军士兵侮辱犯人的情况，图片与2001年至2005年400多起犯人遭虐待案件有关。官员们称，虐俘照片反映的情况包括：一名犯人被推到墙边，军方看守或者审讯人员威胁要用帚柄对他发动性攻击；女兵们和带着头罩和锁链的裸体男犯人的合影照片；带着头罩的犯人在飞机上，印有裸体女人图片的《花花公子》放在他们的膝盖上。
奥巴马政府最初计划公布美国公民自由联盟要求获得的21张图片，但是彼得雷乌斯将军下令公布所有2000张照片，以彻底解决虐俘丑闻。五角大楼担心，公布这些照片会在中东地区引发不利影响。美军在伊拉克阿布格莱布虐俘照片被公开后曾引发阿拉伯世界的愤怒，成为美国在伊拉克的失误标志。美国公民自由联盟律师阿姆里特-辛格称：“这些照片提供了视觉证据，美军士兵对犯人的虐待并不是一个反常现象，而是普遍存在的，不只局限于阿布格莱布监狱。”在美国公民自由联盟2003年根据信息自由法提出公
美国路易斯安那州立大学一项最新研究证实，与固体食物相比，含糖饮料更容易让人发胖。
据美国媒体4月24日报道，路易斯安那州立大学健康科学中心，在研究开始后的第6各月和第18个月，分析了此前记录的1810位，年龄在25岁—79岁的志愿者，每天摄取的食物内容和数量，以及产生的卡路里总量。结果发现，减少含糖软饮料摄入量和减轻体重关系密切。研究还表明，和30年前相比，目前美国人每天要多摄入150卡路里至300卡路里的热量，其中一半都是因为喝高热量饮料造成的。
研究显示，喝饮料没咀嚼动作，胰腺活动减少。同时，人体吸收饮料比固体食物快，更容易让人感到饥饿。（刘洋）
欧洲或紧随美联储开动印钞机 全球性通胀威胁来袭
生命不是一场竞赛 Life Isn't a Competition
一位伟大而又平凡的父亲，一封情真意切的信。父亲的忠告，送给他三岁大的爱子，同时也启示所有人：人生是一段美妙的旅程，虽然会有阴雨，重要的是学会爱，学会享受生活，从而快乐一生。
亲爱的塞斯,
Dear Seth,
[1] 你现在仅仅3岁，此刻你还不识字，更不用说让你去理解我接下来想在这封信里对你所说的话了。但是我已经苦思冥想了好久，关于你即将面临的人生以及我的生活，我反思我所学会的；思考一个父亲的职责，力图让你为未来岁月中即将面临的困难做好充分准备。
[1] You’re only three years old, and at this point in your life you can't read, much less understand what I’m going to try to tell you in this letter. But I've been thinking a lot about the life that you have ahead of you, about my life so far as I reflect on what I've learned, and about my role as a dad in trying to prepare you for
Less is more
Feb 26th 2009
From The Economist print edition
The ultimate in waste disposal is to tackle the problem at source
SIEBEN LINDEN, a hamlet in former East Germany, half-way between Hamburg and Berlin, looks deceptively normal. There is a cluster of houses, some fields, a few cars parked by the side of the road and a small shop, all set against the backdrop of a looming pine forest.
Closer inspection, however, reveals a few peculiarities. Several of the modern-looking buildings turn out to be made of wood, straw and mud. There are huge quantities of logs, because wood-fired stoves and boilers provide all the heating, and quite a few solar panels, which generate most of the electricity. And there are more young people around than usual in rural Germany. Sieben Linden, a self-proclaimed eco-village, is growing fast, unlike the surrounding towns.
Old Europe
The other two of the world’s three biggest developed economies—the EU and Japan—are far less entrepreneurial. The number of innovative entrepreneurs in Germany, for instance, is less than half that in America, according to the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM), a joint venture between the London Business School and Babson College. And far fewer start-ups in those countries become big businesses. Janez Potocnik, the EU commissioner for science and research, points out that only 5% of European companies created from scratch since 1980 have made it into the list of the 1,000 biggest EU companies by market capitalisation. The equivalent figure for America is 22%.
This reflects different cultural attitudes. Europeans have less to gain from taking business risks, thanks to higher tax rates, and more to lose, thanks to more punitive attitudes to bankruptcy (German law, for example, prevents anyone who has ever been bankrupt from becoming a CEO). When Denis
America still leads the world
FOR all its current economic woes, America remains a beacon of entrepreneurialism. Between 1996 and 2004 it created an average of 550,000 small businesses every month. Many of those small businesses rapidly grow big. The world’s largest company, Wal-Mart, was founded in 1962 and did not go public until a decade later; multi-million dollar companies such as Google and Facebook barely existed a decade ago.
America was the first country, in the late 1970s, to ditch managerial capitalism for the entrepreneurial variety. After the second world war J.K. Galbraith was still convinced that the modern corporation had replaced “the entrepreneur as the directing force of the enterprise with management”. Big business and big labour worked with big government to deliver predictable economic growth. But as that growth turned into stagflation, an army of innovators, particularly in the computer and finance industries, exposed th
Better, on the whole, than managed capitalism
THE rise of the entrepreneur, which has been gathering speed over the past 30 years, is not just about economics. It also reflects profound changes in attitudes to everything from individual careers to the social contract. It signals the birth of an entrepreneurial society.
How can policymakers adjust to this change? The first thing they need to do is shed some common misconceptions about the meaning of entrepreneurial capitalism. In any discussion of entrepreneurship, the phrase most frequently invoked is Schumpeter’s “creative destruction”. That can be unhelpful, implying that “destruction” and “creation” carry equal weight and that mankind will be in for a rough time in perpetuity.
Columbia University’s Mr Bhidé points out that a great deal of creation is of the non-destructive variety. Rather than displacing existing products and services, many innovations promote and satisfy new demands. William
The more the merrier
Mar 12th 2009
From The Economist print edition
India and China are creating millions of entrepreneurs
GURCHARAN DAS, an Indian venture capitalist, consultant and author, tells a story about stopping at a roadside café in southern India and chatting to a 14-year-old boy who was waiting at tables. The boy said that he needed the money to pay for computer lessons. His ultimate ambition was to run a computer company just like his hero, Bilgay, the richest man in the world. He may have got the name slightly wrong, but the sentiment was spot on.
Over the past couple of decades India has been transformed from a licence Raj into a land of uncaged entrepreneurs. Everybody knows about companies like Infosys, but there is more to Indian entrepreneurialism than software. Bollywood produces 1,000 films a year that ar
The secrets of entrepreneurial success
企业家成功的秘密
转自：http://www.economist.com/surveys/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13216077&fsrc=rss
KING MIDAS wished for everything he touched to turn to gold, which turned out to be a bad idea. His modern equivalents hope that everything they touch will turn to Silicon, which may not be such a good idea either. The world now glories in dozens of would-be Silicon Valleys: Silicon Alley in New York, Silicon Glen in Scotland and even, depressingly, Silicon Roundabout in London.
Siliconitis is the most common example of what is now an almost universal search among policymakers, local as well as central, for the secrets of entrepreneurial success. It is also the most instructive. A few attempts to replicate Silicon Valley, most notably in Israel, have succeeded. But most are embarrassing failures.
The most
