美国依赖中国提供航运服务
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杂谈 |
美国的供应链危机远未结束。西海岸港口持续积压导致托运人将货物重新运往东部。因此,集装箱船现在在纽约、休斯顿和萨凡纳等港口附近海上漂航,排队等候卸货。
美国不仅依赖中国商品,也依赖中国提供航运服务——这令美国加倍脆弱。
文章称:"中国不仅向我们供应数量巨大的消费品和商品、医疗用品、药品和重要原料,也控制着世界很大一部分的运输船队和商业造船能力。因此北京的国内政策对国际航运业和中国出口商品的生产和分销都影响巨大。这让美国双倍脆弱。"
美国可以通过与“友好国家”的运输企业合作来降低对中国的依赖;指出德国赫伯罗特拥有253艘船,丹麦马士革拥有730艘船,韩国现代商船拥有100艘船,瑞士地中海航运公司拥有730艘船,法国达飞海运拥有566艘船,台湾长荣拥有205艘船。
美国需要一支更大的商业机队来保持全球竞争力。该国还需要更多的造船和船舶修理设施,以确保进入外国市场,并在战争时期支持国家和海军。正如空货架所证明的那样,我们现在所拥有的东西严重不足。
America's Dependence on
China Is a Crisis in the Making
Increased domestic shipping and shipbuilding are key to both
America's national security and economy.
by Brent D. Sadler
America’s supply chain crisis is far from over. Persistent
backlogs at West Coast ports have led shippers to reroute their
cargoes to the east. As a result, container ships now sit offshore
at ports such as New York, Houston, and Savannah, waiting in queue
to offload.
What first triggered the unfamiliar phenomenon of our barren
shop shelves was COVID-19 and a series of ill-advised policies
implemented to “stop the spread.” Suddenly, there were too few
dockworkers, too few warehouse workers, and too few truckers,
creating what Lori Fellmer, chair of the ocean committee for the
National Industrial Transportation League, called “a horror
show.”
But the ongoing problems at our ports and shop shelves drive
home an even more disturbing truth: American prosperity and
well-being have grown far too dependent on China and the whims of
the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Not only does China supply a tremendous amount of our consumer
and commercial goods, medical supplies, pharmaceuticals, and vital
raw materials, but it also controls a huge share of the world’s
shipping fleet and commercial shipbuilding capabilities. Beijing’s
domestic policies, therefore, exert tremendous influence on both
the global shipping industry and the production and distribution of
Chinese exports. This creates a double vulnerability for the United
States.
According to 2021 United Nations data, China owned 7,318
merchant vessels weighing over 1,000 tons—13.6 percent of the
world’s total tonnage. Additionally, 94 percent of all commercial
shipbuilding in 2019 was done by just three nations: China, South
Korea, and Japan. A war in Asia would imperil these sources of
commercial shipbuilding, dramatically affecting international
markets and the United States.
Similar concerns recently led Congress to pass the CHIPS Act,
a flawed attempt to encourage domestic semiconductor production.
Unfortunately, all shipbuilding production and resources cannot be
on-shored.
In the 1980s, Congress established the Commission on Merchant
Marine and Defense to determine the nation’s shipping needs. Its
second report to Congress recommended that the nation obtain a
fleet of 650 ocean-going cargo ships to meet wartime military and
economic needs.
Since then, the American economy has grown 479 percent, and
its population has grown 133 percent. But today, U.S.-flagged
merchant vessels—the only ones that can be truly relied on in a
crisis—number only 180 ships, of which 157 may be militarily
useful. That is a mere fraction of what was needed decades ago,
when the American market was far smaller.
America’s supply chain problems start on the other side of the
Pacific. It’s not just Washington’s COVID policies that are
problematic. China’s “zero-COVID” policies locked
down twenty-five cities, most recently Shenzhen and Shanghai, a
city of forty million people and the site of many of the world’s
manufacturers.
These lockdowns ripple across China, causing logistic shocks
at upriver factories on the Yangtze at Wuhan and at ports like
Tianjin and Shenzhen, which transship products via Shanghai. This
means that products en route to U.S. markets are even further
delayed.
While zero-COVID is employed as a rationale for shutting down
supply chains, the CCP has shown itself willing to use its
industrial might for political purposes, too. The Australians are
enduring a steel embargo for bucking Beijing’s South China Sea
territorial claims. Filipinos are being punished with a banana
embargo for pushing back on China’s encroachment on its Scarborough
Shoal. South Korean tourism has taken a hit from Chinese travel
prohibitions imposed because Seoul is hosting U.S. missile
defenses. And the Lithuanians are dealing with a complete Chinese
embargo because they opened a diplomatic representative office
using the title “Taiwan” instead of “Taipei.”
The war in Ukraine has heightened supply chain concerns over
raw materials like phosphates for fertilizer and neon gas, which is
critical in microchip manufacturing. In the wider competition over
access to such resources, China has the ships and the economic
wherewithal to assure its needs are met. U.S. consumers do
not.
This situation is dire because, for too long, agencies like
the U.S. Maritime Administration, tasked with securing our access
to markets, have been silent or unable to muster needed
action.
Today, it is imperative to address China’s use of domestic
policies like zero-COVID that can hold international supply chains
hostage. A first step is building better resilience into our global
supply chains—especially those important to sustaining a wartime
economy.
Part of the solution is working with maritime shipping
partners in friendly countries—such as Germany (Hapag-Lloyd, 253
ships), Denmark (A.P. Moller Maersk, 730 ships), South Korea (HMM,
100 ships), Switzerland (MSC, 730 ships), France (CMA-CGM, 566
ships), and Taiwan (Evergreen Line, 205 ships)—to ensure access to
commercial shipping and foreign markets.
We must also address the potential for China to coerce and
intimidate the Filipino and Indian sailors who make up the majority
of commercial ship crews keeping the American economy afloat.
Finally, increased domestic shipping and shipbuilding are key
to both America’s national security needs and its economy. The
American maritime industry must be able to compete globally. This
will require setting a policy environment conducive to needed
investments and innovation, while working with partners from allied
countries to become less dependent on the Chinese supply
chain.
The United States needs a larger commercial fleet to remain
globally competitive. The nation also needs more shipbuilding and
ship repair facilities to ensure access to foreign markets and
support the nation and the Navy in times of war. As empty shelves
attest, what we have now is woefully inadequate.

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