加载中…格兰维尔法则/葛兰威尔法则（二）均线入门
(2016-05-15 10:37:52)
标签：
股票 |
分类： 均线 |
国外的股市，一般以MA200（200日均线）作为参照，设置BIAS200，来查看买④和卖⑧，但是中国股市特有的波动节奏和国外不同，经过研究发现，以MA60或者MA21作为参照更好一些。
这里以 深圳综指 399106 作为分析案例，他的历史拐点及其运行周期如下：
| 日期 | 拐点 | 周期 |
| 2005/3/9 | 卖⑥ | 40T |
| 2005/6/3 | 买④ | 57T |
| 2005/6/9 | 卖⑦ | 4T |
| 2005/7/19 | 买④ | 28T |
| 2005/9/20 | 卖⑧ | 45T |
| 2005/12/6 | 买② | 50T |
| 2006/2/15 | 卖⑧ | 42T |
| 2006/3/8 | 买③ | 15T |
| 2006/7/12 | 卖⑧ | 85T |
| 2006/8/7 | 买② | 18T |
| 2006/11/9 | 卖⑧ | 63T |
| 2006/11/14 | 买③ | 3T |
| 2007/1/24 | 卖⑧ | 48T |
| 2007/2/6 | 买③ | 9T |
| 2007/5/29 | 卖⑧ | 70T |
| 2007/6/5 | 买③ | 5T |
| 2007/10/8 | 卖⑧ | 84T |
| 2007/11/29 | 买④ | 38T |
| 2008/1/15 | 卖⑧ | 31T |
| 2008/4/22 | 买④ | 64T |
| 2008/5/15 | 卖⑦ | 15T |
| 2008/6/20 | 买④ | 25T |
| 2008/7/10 | 卖⑦ | 14T |
| 2008/9/18 | 买④ | 49T |
| 2008/9/22 | 卖⑦ | 2T |
| 2008/11/4 | 买④ | 26T |
| 2008/12/19 | 卖⑧ | 33T |
| 2008/12/29 | 买③ | 6T |
| 2009/2/16 | 卖⑧ | 28T |
| 2009/2/27 | 买③ | 9T |
| 2009/4/16 | 卖⑧ | 33T |
| 2009/4/28 | 买③ | 8T |
| 2009/8/4 | 卖⑧ | 67T |
| 2009/9/1 | 买④ | 20T |
| 2009/12/4 | 卖⑧ | 62T |
| 2010/2/3 | 买② | 42T |
| 2010/4/12 | 卖⑤ | 42T |
| 2010/7/2 | 买④ | 55T |
| 2010/9/14 | 卖⑧ | 52T |
| 2010/9/21 | 买③ | 5T |
| 2010/11/11 | 卖⑧ | 29T |
| 2011/1/25 | 买④ | 52T |
| 2011/3/28 | 卖⑥ | 39T |
| 2011/6/20 | 买④ | 56T |
| 2011/7/18 | 卖⑥ | 20T |
| 2011/10/24 | 买④ | 64T |
| 2011/11/15 | 卖⑥ | 16T |
| 2012/1/6 | 买④ | 36T |
| 2012/3/14 | 卖⑧ | 43T |
| 2012/3/30 | 买② | 12T |
| 2012/5/7 | 卖⑤ | 21T |
| 2012/12/4 | 买④ | 145T |
| 2013/3/7 | 卖⑧ | 59T |
| 2013/4/16 | 买② | 26T |
| 2013/5/31 | 卖⑧ | 30T |
| 2013/6/25 | 买② | 14T |
| 2013/10/14 | 卖⑧ | 72T |
| 2013/11/14 | 买② | 23T |
| 2014/2/17 | 卖⑧ | 61T |
| 2014/4/28 | 买② | 49T |
| 2014/10/9 | 卖⑧ | 109T |
| 2014/10/27 | 买③ | 12T |
| 2014/12/16 | 卖⑧ | 36T |
| 2014/12/24 | 买③ | 6T |
| 2015/4/14 | 卖⑧ | 71T |
| 2015/4/20 | 买③ | 4T |
| 2015/6/12 | 卖⑧ | 38T |
| 2015/7/8 | 买④ | 17T |
| 2015/7/24 | 卖⑦ | 12T |
| 2015/9/15 | 买④ | 35T |
| 2015/12/23 | 卖⑧ | 67T |
| 2016/1/28 | 买④ | 25T |
| 2016/4/15 | 卖⑥ | 50T |
有数据可知，深圳综指的波动规律符合格兰维尔法则，选择MA60来分析格兰维尔买卖点时可以的。
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