After Yasukuni gesture, sincere actions needed
标签:
安倍任内中日关系何去何从笪志刚 |
分类: 微观评论日本 |
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe reshuffled his
cabinet on August 3 and appointed Tomomi Inada to take on the
defense minister portfolio replacing Gen Nakatani. Inada, the
former head of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's Policy
Research Council, is Japan's second female defense minister after
Yuriko Koike, who held the post under the administration of Koizumi
Junichiro.
Given Inada's unscrupulous right-wing remarks and high-profile
gesture in repeatedly visiting the Yasukuni Shrine, which honors 14
class-A convicted WWII criminals, Abe's intention in appointing her
as defense minister is worth worrying about. In the wake of series
of moves such as lifting the ban on collective self-defense and
passing new security bills, how will Japan recalibrate its defense
policy? And how will the country tackle Northeast Asian
geopolitical security affairs?
On August 15, anniversary of Japan's WWII defeat, Inada, who most
people thought would definitely visit the Yasukuni Shrine, didn't
show up. Why did the Abe cabinet act with restraint this time? What
changed? What kind of Sino-Japanese relations will Abe pursue in
his remaining years? Will bilateral relations that are entangled in
territorial disputes, historical feuds and geopolitical interests
still on a bumpy road or will a new way be worked out that will
tally with the interests of both?
As far as I am concerned, we should be both optimistic and vigilant
about the future China-Japan relationship.
From the perspective of geopolitics, the China-Japan relationship
transcends their bilateral relationship, as it is of vital
importance for the stability and prosperity of Northeast Asia, the
Asia-Pacific region, and even the whole world.
Economically, promoting and upgrading economic and trade
cooperation between the two is not only beneficial to advance the
balanced development of the China-initiated "Belt and Road" plan,
but will be decisive regarding whether Abenomics will succeed or
not. It's very certain that no matter whether Japan increasingly
reduces its dependence on Chinese economy, it cannot shy away from
Chinese influence to walk out of the mire of deflation.
Taking into consideration diplomatic pressure and public opinion in
countries including China as well as the opposition of domestic
peace advocates, Abe and his follower Inada made a concession
regarding the Yasukuni Shrine visit. This doesn't mean they have
given up their conservative political ideas and made the right
choice about upholding the correct historical views.
But at least it indicates Abe and his cabinet have opted for a
flexible and practical China policy, which is likely to help
improve and stabilize China-Japan relations.
Nonetheless, the contentious nature of the bilateral relationship
remains unchanged. It seems that conflicts, be they already
existing ones or newly triggered ones, will emerge in one way or
the other. Bilateral relations will be by no means
smooth.
Besides, both Abe and Inada avoided the Yasukuni
visit on August 15. They made concessions in order
to gain more advantages. By lowering their stance on the historical
issue, they aim at getting more out of the upcoming G20
summit, soliciting higher support for constitutional amendments,
and gaining more benefits from the Chinese market.
China and Japan both gain from peaceful coexistence and lose due to
conflicts. The prospect of the bilateral relationship hinges on
wisdom of the politicians, the rationality of the public and frank
communication between both countries. We hope Abe could have
sincerity in developing the mutually beneficial strategic
relations, rather than merely adopting a temporary expedient for
instant gains.
The author is director of the Institute of Northeast Asian
Studies, Heilongjiang Provincial Academy of Social

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