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Thomas Piketty的Capital (in the 21st Century):有良心的经济学(家)

(2014-05-18 21:27:41)
分类: 学术话题
开了一天半会,终于有空看几页最近最轰动的书
Thomas Piketty的Capital (in the 21st Century). 

至少这几段话我很同意:希望那些还在迷恋数学化的非实证的所谓的“社会科学”(主要是经济学,加上一部分game theory-political science)的同学赶紧醒悟。
“科学”是实证科学,数学不是严格意义上的科学,而是元科学(即,科学讨论的基础之一)。没有经过实证检验的模型就最多是一个看世界的方式或者玩具,甚至是个misinformation。

Thomas Piketty (2014, 31-32)
I did not find the work of US economists entirely convincing. To be sure, they were all very intelligent, and I still have many friends from that period of my life. But something strange happened: I was only too aware of the fact that I knew nothing at all about the worlds economic problems. My thesis consisted of several relatively abstract mathematical theorems. Yet the profession liked my work. I quickly realized that there had been no significant effort to collect historical data on the dynamics
of inequality since Kuznets, yet the profession continued to churn out purely theoretical results without even knowing what facts needed to be explained. And it expected me to do the same.
......
To put it bluntly, the discipline of economics has yet to get over its childish passion for mathematics and for purely theoretical and oft en highly ideological speculation, at the expense of historical research and collaboration with the other social sciences. Economists are all too oft en preoccupied with petty mathematical problems of interest only to themselves. Th is obsession with mathematics is an easy way of acquiring the appearance of scientificity without having to answer the far more complex questions posed by the world we live in. There is one great advantage to being an academic economist in France: here, economists are not highly respected in the academic and intellectual world or by political and financial elites. Hence they must set aside their contempt for other disciplines and their absurd claim to greater scientific legitimacy, despite the fact that they know almost nothing about anything.

大家(特别是经济学家或者学生)不要误解,我也玩点模型(最近就在玩)。而且我依靠其他同事的能力,玩的技巧远比大家耳熟能详的定量、定性、forma modeling多的多。但是我坚持,模型必须有一定的系统证据支持,不能只是讲一两个故事扯扯淡。

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