慢性肾病（chronic kidney disease，CKD）是危害人类健康的常见病和多发病，特别是慢性终末期肾病更需要透析治疗，故极大地降低了患者的生活质量及增加了他或她们的经济负担。早期发现，特别是早期预测慢性肾病可能发展至慢性肾功能衰竭对及早采取相应措施以阻止病情的进展有着特别重要的意义。为了预测慢性肾病的发展趋势，众多科研人员相继开展了一系列的研究。最近，美国迈阿密大学的研究人员发现慢性肾病患者血清成纤维细胞生长因子23（fibroblast growth factor 23，FGF23）显著升高有利于预测其病情的进一步恶化，即易发展至慢性肾功能衰竭和患者将面临着更大的死亡风险。更多资讯，请参阅原文：

NIH researchers identify new marker to predict progressive kidney failure, death

A high level of a hormone that regulates phosphate is associated with an increased risk of kidney failure and death among chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients, according to a recent study led by researchers at the University of Miami and funded by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive Diseases and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) at the National Institutes of Health. Results are in the June 15 issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association.

In a previous study of patients beginning hemodialysis for treatment of kidney failure, individuals with elevated blood levels of the hormone fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) were found to be at nearly six times greater risk of death compared to those with lower levels. However, the hormone had not been tested in the much larger population of patients with less advanced CKD. Researchers now report that patients with earlier stage kidney disease and high FGF23 are at nearly two times higher risk of kidney failure if their baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is 45 milliliters or higher, while all CKD patients are at three times higher risk of death compared to patients with lower levels of the hormone. The eGFR is a measure of kidney function.

Senior study author Myles Wolf, M.D., M.M.Sc., at the University of Miami, believes this discovery could lead to earlier diagnosis and treatment of phosphate problems. Treatment typically consists of dietary phosphate restriction and phosphate binders — medications that work like a sponge to soak up phosphate in the gut. "Since FGF23 rises before phosphate in people with early or intermediate-stage chronic kidney disease, this hormone could be an early marker — like a road sign — pointing to patients who may benefit from early management of phosphate levels, which may help preserve kidney function and reduce deaths," he said.

Our bodies need phosphorus to build and repair bones and teeth, help cells function and maintain DNA. With fine-tuned regulation from hormones like FGF23, the kidneys help control the amount of phosphate in the blood by eliminating the excess. Elevated phosphate levels are often a consequence of advanced kidney disease or damage. But too much phosphate may also make kidney disease worse.

The findings released today are based on data from 3,879 racially diverse participants with CKD who enrolled in the NIDDK-supported, multi-center, observational Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study between June 2003 and September 2008. During a median follow up period of 3.5 years, 266 patients died and 410 developed kidney failure.

"The major goal of the CRIC Study is to figure out which factors might predict rapid loss of kidney function and development and worsening of heart disease in CKD patients," said Robert A. Star, M. D., director of the Division of Kidney, Urologic and Hematologic Diseases at NIDDK. "FGF23 could be the critically important puzzle piece that separates those who might have stable kidney function from those who have progressively worsening kidney disease and heart disease that requires more intensive therapy. FGF23 might work better than more traditional measures, such as protein in the urine, in certain settings."

Star added that the study of FGF23 in the CRIC Study is part of a major effort supported by the NIDDK to identify markers that can better predict the fate of patients with CKD. Further work is necessary to determine whether FGF23 actually causes death or progressively reduces kidney function in CKD patients, and whether reducing FGF23 levels improves patient survival.

Next month, the NIDDK will host a meeting to discuss opportunities for randomized clinical trials to reduce the impact of CKD. For more information, visit http://www3.niddk.nih.gov/fund/other/ckdclintrials2011/index.htm.

An estimated 23 million American adults have CKD, and nearly 400,000 people in the United States and 2 million worldwide depend on dialysis to treat kidney failure. CKD costs the nation $57.5 billion per year, or roughly 23 percent of total Medicare expenditures, and end stage renal disease carries a cost of $39.5 billion.

This research was also supported by NIH’s National Center for Research Resources.

CRIC Study participants have been recruited from, and are followed at, 13 U.S. clinical sites — Case Western Reserve, the Cleveland Clinic, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, MetroHealth Cleveland, St. Johns Medical Center Detroit, Tulane University, University of California, San Francisco, University of Illinois, University of Maryland, University of Michigan, University of Pennsylvania, and Wayne State University. The study’s Scientific and Data Coordinating Center is at the University of Pennsylvania. For more information about the CRIC Study, visit http://archives.niddk.nih.gov/patient/cric/cric.aspx.

The NIDDK, a component of the NIH, conducts and supports research on diabetes and other endocrine and metabolic diseases; digestive diseases, nutrition and obesity; and kidney, urologic and hematologic diseases. Spanning the full spectrum of medicine and afflicting people of all ages and ethnic groups, these diseases encompass some of the most common, severe and disabling conditions affecting Americans. For more information about the NIDDK and its programs, see www.niddk.nih.gov.