GDP极其平减指数和CPI指数与股指

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杂谈 |
0:因机器中毒,这片贴文值贴了一半,就上不去图了。今天机器恢复正常,补贴另外两幅图。
1:GDP平减指数:(GDP Deflator),又称GDP缩减指数
仅仅增长6.79%。是30年来仅次于89年的单年度的下跌幅度。而这些却是主流媒体都不说的内容,确实真相之一角。之所以提到名义GDP,是因为去年是在那么大的投资力度下,却以当年价看,成效并不大,遗留的后患却很大,即官方自己都承认的所谓通胀预期。更别说吹升了的房地产价格大泡泡了,而且错失了调结构的良机。
附录上图所用数据:
年 |
GDP总额 |
名义GDP增长率 |
实际GDP增长率 |
GDP平减指数 |
通货膨胀率 |
CPI(1978=100) |
CPI通胀率 |
1978 |
3645.2 |
|
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
1979 |
4062.6 |
11.45% |
7.60% |
103.579 |
3.58% |
102.5 |
2.50% |
1980 |
4545.6 |
11.89% |
7.81% |
107.501 |
3.79% |
109.3 |
6.63% |
1981 |
4891.6 |
7.61% |
5.26% |
109.904 |
2.24% |
110.6 |
1.19% |
1982 |
5323.4 |
8.83% |
9.01% |
109.721 |
-0.17% |
111.9 |
1.18% |
1983 |
5962.7 |
12.01% |
10.89% |
110.824 |
1.01% |
113.1 |
1.07% |
1984 |
7208.1 |
20.89% |
15.18% |
116.319 |
4.96% |
117.7 |
4.07% |
1985 |
9016 |
25.08% |
13.47% |
128.221 |
10.23% |
130.8 |
11.13% |
1986 |
10275.2 |
13.97% |
8.86% |
134.23 |
4.69% |
138.9 |
6.19% |
1987 |
12058.6 |
17.36% |
11.57% |
141.19 |
5.19% |
150.3 |
8.21% |
1988 |
15042.8 |
24.75% |
11.27% |
158.295 |
12.11% |
181.1 |
20.49% |
1989 |
16992.3 |
12.96% |
4.07% |
171.823 |
8.55% |
205.4 |
13.42% |
1990 |
18667.8 |
9.86% |
3.83% |
181.796 |
5.80% |
211.6 |
3.02% |
1991 |
21781.5 |
16.68% |
9.19% |
194.259 |
6.86% |
227 |
7.28% |
1992 |
26923.5 |
23.61% |
14.24% |
210.188 |
8.20% |
252.9 |
11.41% |
1993 |
35333.9 |
31.24% |
13.94% |
242.09 |
15.18% |
303 |
19.81% |
1994 |
48197.9 |
36.41% |
13.09% |
292.012 |
20.62% |
382.7 |
26.30% |
1995 |
60793.7 |
26.13% |
10.93% |
332.027 |
13.70% |
453.1 |
18.40% |
1996 |
71176.6 |
17.08% |
10.01% |
353.35 |
6.42% |
508.4 |
12.20% |
1997 |
78973 |
10.95% |
9.28% |
358.75 |
1.53% |
524.2 |
3.11% |
1998 |
84402.3 |
6.87% |
7.83% |
355.565 |
-0.89% |
510.6 |
-2.59% |
1999 |
89677.1 |
6.25% |
7.63% |
350.998 |
-1.28% |
490.7 |
-3.90% |
2000 |
99214.6 |
10.64% |
8.42% |
358.177 |
2.05% |
493.6 |
0.59% |
2001 |
109655.2 |
10.52% |
8.30% |
365.517 |
2.05% |
491.1 |
-0.51% |
2002 |
120332.7 |
9.74% |
9.09% |
367.691 |
0.59% |
484.2 |
-1.41% |
2003 |
135822.8 |
12.87% |
10.02% |
377.209 |
2.59% |
495.3 |
2.29% |
2004 |
159878.3 |
17.71% |
10.08% |
403.347 |
6.93% |
511.6 |
3.29% |
2005 |
183217.4 |
14.60% |
10.43% |
418.576 |
3.78% |
520.81 |
1.80% |
2006 |
211923.5 |
15.67% |
11.65% |
433.637 |
3.60% |
528.62 |
1.50% |
2007 |
257306 |
21.41% |
13.00% |
465.928 |
7.45% |
554 |
4.80% |
2008 |
314045 |
22.05% |
9.60% |
518.9 |
11.37% |
586.686 |
5.90% |
2009 |
335353 |
6.79% |
8.70% |
508.99 |
-1.91% |
582.58 |
-0.70% |
2:GDP平减指数和CPI指数用来调整上证指数:
下图为算术坐标: