程阳:中国人口年龄性别结构

标签:
程阳中国人口年龄性别结构财经 |
分类: 经济民生 |
程阳:中国人口年龄性别结构
China's Population by Age & Sex, 1950 - 2050
男
Male
Source:
United Nations
(1999): World Population Prospects. The 1998 Revision. New York
(electronic data files)
http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/SRD/ChinaFood/data/anim/pop_ani.htm
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Population by Age and Sex, 1950 - 2050;
Proportion Elderly, Working Age, and Children
60+ 以上老人
20-59岁工作者
0-19岁青少孩童
This animation
of China's population demonstrates the dramatic change in the
country's age structure between 1950 and 2050. While the number of
children was increasing rapidly between 1950 and about 1970, it is
now declining significantly, due to China's strict one-child family
planning program. In the next few decades, China will experience a
most serious process of population aging - as can be seen by the
shrinking base of the population pyramid and the increasing numbers
of people age 50 and above.
The bars in the lower half part of the animation represent the
percentages of elderly (age 60+), working age population (age
20-59) and children or young adults (0-19) in the population. For
instance, it is projected that 31% of all Chinese will be above the
age of 60 in the year 2050!
Source:
United Nations Population Division (2004): World Population Prospects, 2004
http://www.china-profile.com/data/ani_pop_1.htm
Note: Animation
was produced with the author's DemoGraphics '05
software.
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China's Total Population by Sex and Age, Census 1990
Then the Chinese family planning program obviously took effect. The
birth cohorts rapidly declined. Those children, that were between 4
and 11 in 1990, belonged to the smallest birth cohorts after the
baby boom. They were born between 1978 and 1985.
At the bottom of the Chinese
population pyramid one can again see large cohorts, that were born
between 1985 and 1990. They are almost as large as the birth
cohorts during the "baby boom" years. However, these large number
of birth are just the "echo effect" of the baby boom between the
mid-1960s and mid-1970s. The large baby boom generation had their
(first) children - and despite the fact, that each couple should
have had only one child, the total number of births was high,
because of the large number of parents. (In fact the average
fertility during the early 1990s was more than two
children).
Source:
State Statistical Bureau (1992): 1990 Population Census of China.
Beijing
http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/SRD/ChinaFood/data/pop/p_23c_m.htm
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http://news.sina.com.cn/z/populationday/index.shtml