创新是不受经济下滑的影响的

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杂谈 |
By the end of 2008, Venture Capital had been officially declared dead. Startups were laying people off so fast that even TechCrunch couldn't manage to keep up. University Endowments and Foundations, the source of the "capital" in Venture Capital, were hemorrhaging so badly from their public company investments that many long-time believers in "alternative assets" declared a moratorium on Venture Capital. And the IPO market was a distant memory. Good times!
Welcome 2009. The public markets remain closed. Venture investors and the investors in venture investors remain "challenged." Follow on financings have become increasingly difficult, in some instances impossible. And, while there may well be light at the end of the tunnel, it would appear that we haven't gotten far enough down the tunnel yet to see that light.
So why am I optimistic about investing in 2009? Because entrepreneurship is an addiction, it isn't a choice. Great entrepreneurs aren't driven to create companies because it is easy, or because capital is plentiful, or because the public markets are swallowing anything the venture community will throw at them. Great entrepreneurs start companies because they can't help themselves. They see a problem or a solution or white space or an opportunity and they have to do something about it.
Innovation doesn't take a vacation during an economic downturn. Innovation is a constant. While the resources an entrepreneur may be able to bring to bear on a problem may vary with the economic climate, the desire -- the need -- to innovate never goes away. And Venture Capital is the fuel of that innovation. [1]
So I remain excited about the companies that will be started in 2009. There will be great companies started during this economic crisis. Some of them will be born out of the crisis itself. Others will simply be born during the crisis. But, rest assured, there will be important tech companies hatched in the next year or two. And I am certainly hoping to fund them.
[1] Some of you reading this will say to
yourselves "starting companies today is so inexpensive that we
don't need no stinkin' VCs." More power to you. I don't mean to
suggest that innovation will die without Venture Capital. There are
many great ideas that can come to fruition without a
meaningfully-large capital infusion. My hat is off to the 37
Signals and Smugmugs of this world. But for those ideas that
require investment ahead of revenue to reach their full potential,
Venture Capital remains an important resource for company
building.