A BRIEF HISTORY OF TIME
Stephen W. Hawking
Our Picture of the Universe
Any physical
theory is always provisional, in the sense that it is only a
hypothesis: you can never prove it. No matter how many times the
results of experiments agree with some theory, you can never be
sure that the next time the result will not contradict the theory.
On the other hand, you can disprove a theory by finding even a
single observation that disagrees with the predictions of the
theory... Each time new experiments are observed to agree with the
predictions the theory survives, and our confidence in it is
increased; but if ever a new observation is found to disagree, we
have to abandon or modify the
theory.
Today
scientists describe the universe in terms of two basic partial
theories - the general theory of relativity and quantum
mechanics... The general theory of relativity describes the force
of gravity and the large-scale structure of the universe, that is,
the structure on scales from only a few miles to as large as a
million million million million (1 with twenty-four zeros after it)
miles, the size of the observable universe. Quantum mechanics, on
the other hands, deals with phenomena on extremely small scales,
such as a millionth of a millionth of an inch. Unfortunately,
however, these two theories are known to be inconsistent with each
other - they cannot both be correct.
The discovery of a complete
unified theory, therefore, may not aid the survival of our species.
It may not even affect our life-style. But ever since the dawn of
civilization, people have not been content to see events as
unconnected and inexplicable. They have craved an understanding of
the underlying order in the world. Today we still yearn to know why
we are here and where we came from. Humanity's deepest desire for
knowledge is justification enough for our continuing quest. And our
goal is nothing less than a complete description of the universe we
live in.
Space and Time
In addition
to his laws of motion, Newton discovered a law to describe the
force of gravity, which states that every body attracts every other
body with a force that is proportional to the mass of each body.
Thus the force between two bodies would be twice as strong if one
of the bodies (say, body A) had its mass doubled. This is what you
might expect because one could think of the new body A as being
made of two bodies with the original mass. Each would attract body
B with the original force. Thus the total force between A and B
would be twice the original force. And if, say, one of the bodies
had twice the mass, and the other had three times the mass, then
the force would be six times as strong. One can now see why all
bodies fall at the same rate: a body of twice the weight will have
twice the force of gravity pulling it down, bit it will also have
twice the mass. According to Newton's second law, these two effects
will exactly cancel each other, so the acceleration will be the
same in all cases.
...if one sets aside for a moment the rotation of the earth and
its orbit round the sun, one could say that the earth was at rest
and that a train on it was traveling north at ninety miles per hour
or that the train was at rest and the earth was moving south at
ninety miles per hour.
[James
Clerk] Maxwell's equations predicted that there could be wavelike
disturbances in the combined electromagnetic field, and that these
would travel at a fixed speed, like ripples on a pond. If the
wavelength of these waves is a meter or more, they are what we now
call radio waves. Shorter wavelengths are known as microwaves (a
few centimeters) or infrared (more than a ten thousandth of a
centimeter). Visible light has a wavelength of between only forty
and eighty millionths of a centimeter. Even shorter wavelengths are
known as ultraviolet, X rays, and gamma
rays.
... at 10
percent of the speed of light an object's mass is only 0.5 percent
more than normal, while at 90 percent of the speed of light it
would be more than twice its normal mass. As an object approaches
the speed of light, its mass rises ever more quickly, so it takes
more and more energy to speed it up further. It can in fact never
reach the speed of light, because by then its mass would have
become infinite, and by the equivalence of mass and energy, it
would have taken an infinite amount of energy to get it there. For
this reason, any normal object is forever confined by relativity to
move at speeds slower than the speed of light. Only light, or other
waves that have no intrinsic mass, can move at the speed of
light.
... the meter is defined to be the distance
traveled by light in 0.000000003335640952 seconds, as measured by a
cesium clock.
The
theory of relativity does, however, force us to change
fundamentally our ideas of space and time. We must accept that time
if not completely separate from and independent of space, but is
combined with it to form an object called
space-time.
... we do not know what is happening at the
moment farther away in the universe: the light that we see from
distant galaxies left them millions of years ago and in the case of
the most distant object that we have seen, the light left some
eight thousand million years ago. Thus, when we look at the
universe, we are seeing it as it was in the
past.
Bodies like
the earth are not made to move on curved orbits by a force called
gravity; instead, they follow the nearest thing to a straight path
in curved space, which is called a geodesic. A geodesic is the
shortest (or longest) path between two nearby points.
The mass of
the sun curves space-time in such a way that although the earth
follows a straight path in four-dimensional space-time, it appears
to us to move along a circular orbit in three-dimensional
space.
Light rays
too must follow geodesics in space-time... this means that light
from a distant star that happened to pass near the sun would be
deflected through a small angel, causing the star to appear in a
different position to an observer on the earth.
The Expanding Universe
The nearest
star, called Proxima Centauri, is found to be about four
light-years away, or about twenty-three million million miles. Most
of the other stars that are visible to the naked eye lie within a
few hundred light-years of
us.
We now know
that our galaxy is only one of some hundred thousand million that
can be seen using modern telescopes, each galaxy itself containing
some hundred thousand million stars... We live in a galaxy that is
about one hundred thousand light-years across and is slowly
rotating; the stars in its spiral arms orbit around its center
about once every several hundred million
years.
Newton, and
others, should have realized that a static universe would soon
start to contract under the influence of gravity. But suppose
instead the universe expanding. If it was expanding fairly slowly,
the force of gravity would cause it eventually to stop expanding
and then to start contracting. However, if it was expanding at more
than a certain critical rate, gravity would never be strong enough
to stop it, and the universe would continue to expand
forever.
A
remarkable feature of the first kind of Friedmann model is that in
it the universe is not infinite in space, but neither does space
have any boundary. Gravity is so strong that space is bent round
onto itself, making it rather like the surface of the earth. If one
keeps traveling in a certain direction on the surface of the earth,
one never comes up against an impassable barrier or falls over the
edge, but eventually comes back to where one started.
The
present evidence therefore suggests that the universe will probably
expand forever, but all we can really be sure of is that even if
the universe is going to recollapse, it won't do so for at least
another ten thousand million years, since it has already been
expanding for at least that long. This should not unduly worry us:
by that time, unless we have colonized beyond the Solar System,
mankind would long since have died out, extinguished along with our
sun!
The Uncertainty Principle
Einstein
never accepted that the universe was governed by chance; his
feelings were summed up in his famous statement "God does not play
dice."
It [quantum
mechanics] governs the behavior of transistors and integrated
circuits, which are essential components of electronic devices such
as televisions and computers, and is also the basis of modern
chemistry and biology. The only areas of physical science into
which quantum mechanics has not yet been properly incorporated are
gravity and the large-scale structure of the
universe.
Elementary Particles and the Forces of Nature
Aristotle
believe that all the matter in the universe was made up of four
basic elements, earth, air, fire, and water .These elements were
acted on by two forces: gravity, the tendency for earth and water
to sink, and levity, the tendency for air and fire to rise...
Aristotle
believed that matter was continuous, that is, one could divide a
piece of matter into smaller and smaller bits without any limit:
one never come up against a grain of matter that could not be
divided further.
There are a
number of different varieties of quarks: they are thought to be at
least six "flavors," which we call up, down, strange, charmed,
bottom, and top. Each flavor comes in three "colors," red, green,
and blue.
... a particle of spin 1 is like an arrow: it
looks different from different directions. Only if one turns it
round a complete revolution (360 degrees) does the particle look
the same. A particle of spin 2 is like a double-headed arrow: it
look the same if one turns it round half a revolution (180
degrees)... there are particles that do not look the same if one
turns them through just one revolution: you have to turn them
through two complete revolutions! Such particles are said to have
spin? 71
We now know
that every particle has an antiparticle, with which it can
annihilate. There could be whole antiworlds and antipeople made out
of antiparticles. However, if you meet your antiself, don't shake
hands! You would both vanish in a great flash of
light.
The value of
the grand unification energy is not very well know, but it would
probably have to be at least a thousand million million GeV. The
present generation of particle accelerators can collide particles
at energies of about one hundred GeV, and machine are planned that
would raise this to a few thousand GeV. But a machine that was
powerful enough to accelerate particles to the grand unification
energy would have to be as big as the Solar System - and would be
unlikely to be funded in the present economic
climate.
... one can calculate that the probable life of
the proton must be greater than ten million million million million
million years (1 with thirty-one zeros).
Black Holes
... a star that was sufficiently massive and
compact would have such a strong gravitational field that light
could not escape: any light emitted from the surface of the star
would be dragged back by the star's gravitational attraction before
it could get very far... Such objects are what we now call black
holes...
As the star contracts, the gravitational field at its surface gets
stronger and the light cones get bent inward more. This makes it
more difficult for light from the star to escape, and the light
appears dimmer and redder to an observer at a distance. Eventually,
when the star has shrunk to a certain critical radius, the
gravitational field at the surface becomes so strong that the light
cones are bent inward so much that light can no longer escape.
According to the theory of relativity, nothing can travel faster
than light. Thus if light cannot escape, neither can anything
else...
The event
horizon , the boundary of the region of space-time from which it is
not possible to escape, acts rather like a one-way membrane around
the black hole... One could well say of the event horizon what the
poet Dante said of the entrance to Hell: "All hope abandon, ye who
enter here." Anything or anyone who falls through the event horizon
will soon reach the region of infinite density and the end of
time.
... the movement of the earth in its orbit round
the sun produces gravitational waves. The effect of the energy loss
will be to change the orbit of the earth so that gradually it gets
nearer and nearer to the sun, eventually collides with it, and
settles down to a stationary state. The rate of energy loss in the
case of the earth and the sun is very low - about enough to run a
small electric heater. This means it will take about a thousand
million million million million years for the earth to run into the
sun...
We also now
have evidence for several other black holes in systems like Cygnus
X-1 in our galaxy and in two neighboring galaxies called the
Magellanic Clouds. The number of black holes, however, is almost
certainly very much higher; in the long history of the universe,
many stars must have burned all their nuclear fuel and have had to
collapse. The number of black holes may well be greater even than
the number of visible stars, which totals about a hundred thousand
million in our galaxy alone.