阿迪新闻英语-气候变化影响土质和粮食产量
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20200807 Fri
阿迪新闻英语
气候变化影响土质和粮食产量
Climate Change to Affect Land Quality, Food
Production
A new United Nations scientific report says that human-caused
climate change is greatly reducing land quality worldwide. It also
warns that the way humans use land is causing the Earth's
atmosphere to warm faster and could harm food production.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published
its latest report on Thursday. It examines the relationship between
climate change and land use, agriculture and food security.
The report notes that the effects of climate change are
already making food more costly and less nutritious and are
worsening food shortages.
"The cycle is accelerating," says NASA climate scientist
Cynthia Rosenzweig. She was among the writers of the report. "The
threat of climate change affecting people's food on their dinner
table is increasing."
The scientists write that if humans change the way they eat,
grow food and manage forests, it could help slow world temperature
rise.
Land warming faster
About 30 percent of the Earth's surface is land. But the
report says that the land is warming two times faster than the
planet as a whole. While heat-trapping gases are causing problems
in the atmosphere, land has been less talked about as a part of
climate change.
"The way we use land is both part of the problem and also part
of the solution," said Valerie Masson-Delmotte. She is a French
climate scientist who was on one of the IPCC's working groups.
"Sustainable land management can help secure a future that is
comfortable," she added.
The report said climate change has worsened land degradation.
It has caused deserts to spread and permafrost to partly melt, and
made forests more easily harmed by fire, disease and lack of
water.
The future could be worse, the report said.
Agriculture and forestry together account for about 23 percent
of the heat-trapping gases that are warming the Earth. That does
not include energy costs, food transportation and packaging. With
those activities added, the amount grows to 37 percent.
But scientists also note that land is a good carbon "sink." In
other words, it can suck heat-trapping gases out of the air. From
2007 to 2016, for example, agriculture and forestry each year put
5.2 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide into the air. But the
land pulled 11.2 billion metric tons out of it. Carbon dioxide is a
main heat-trapping gas.
But one of the writers of the report, Luis Verchot, noted,
"this additional gift from nature is limited." He warned that the
land will be less able to take in emissions in the future. Verchot
is a scientist at the International Center for Tropical Agriculture
in Colombia.
He said that total emissions from land are increasing,
especially because of deforestation in places such as Brazil,
Colombia and Peru.
Less-nutritious food
Scientists have long believed that one of the few good things
about higher levels of carbon dioxide is that plants grow well in
such conditions, NASA's Rosenzweig said. But many studies show that
the high levels of carbon dioxide reduce protein and nutrients in
many crops.
For example, the studies show that high levels of carbon in
the air cause wheat to have six to 13 percent less protein, four to
seven percent less zinc and eight percent less iron, Rosenzweig
said.
Food security
The IPCC also warned of more harmful effects to the global
food supply as extreme weather becomes more common. It predicts an
increase of 7.6 percent in cereal prices by 2050. Higher food
prices, the report said, lead to an increased risk of hunger.
Changing farming, changing diets
The report noted that better, smarter farming methods could
reduce carbon levels by up to 18 percent of current emission levels
by 2050.
The report also suggested ways that carbon emissions could be
reduced further. This could be done if humans reduce the amount of
red meat they eat and instead eat more plant-based foods like
fruits, vegetables and seeds. That would also make people
healthier, Rosenzweig said.
More plant-based diets also would free up several million
square kilometers of land by 2050.
"There are certain kinds of diets that have a lower carbon
footprint and put less pressure on land," said Jim Skea, a
professor at London's Imperial College. He spoke with Reuters
reporters Thursday.
Reducing food waste
The report said that reducing food waste is an important part
of fighting climate change. The report noted that almost one-third
of food produced is lost or wasted. The causes of food loss and
waste differ greatly between developed and developing
countries.
Between 2010 and 2016, worldwide food waste accounted for
eight to 10 percent of heat-trapping emissions. Reducing food waste
would reduce emissions and improve food security, the report
said.
However, the report urged that "the window for making these
changes is closing fast."
Stanford University's environmental sciences chief, Chris
Field, was not involved in the IPCC's report. But he told the
Associated press that the report's main message is that humans must
"recognize that we have profound limits on the amount of land
available."
He added, "We have to be careful about how we utilize
it."

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