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杂谈 |
Damodaran的书非常不错,买了本翻译的,没法看,只好到他个人网页下来电子版一阅。做做笔记,抄几句话,然后写点感想。要点跟原书不一定一致,只是我觉得有意思的来做个抄录而已。
1.Thevalue obtained from any valuation model is affected by firm-specific as well as market-wide information. As a consequence, the value will change as new information is revealed.。。。。。。。持续跟踪股票的必要性
2.Thedramatic drop in value of many new economy stocks from 1999 to 2001 can be traced, at least partially, to the realization that these firms had business models that could deliver customers but not earnings, even in the long term.。。成长股价值跌落其实是有迹可循的
3.LordKeynes:“When the facts change, I change my mind. And what do you do, sir?”。。。。。时移世易,必须跟上时代的变化,否则只能被时代所淘汰。当然所谓的变化其实没那么快做中长线的用不着今天买明天就抛,多关注下基本面的变化而不是K线图的变化。
4.Thevaluation of a large and mature company, with a long financial history, will usually be much more precise than the valuation of a young company,觉得上市多年又没有什么新变化的老企业被低估的人应该反思一下,注意关键词“变化”
5.Ina world where the problem that we often face in valuations is not too little information but too much, separating the information that matters from the information that does not is almost as important as the valuation models and techniques that you use to value a firm.很多人去找小道消息真正好笑,现在不是信息少,而是TMD太多,需要花功夫甄别
6.First,if something looks too good to be true – a stock looks obviously under valued or over valued – it is probably not true. Second, when the value from an analysis is
significantlydifferent from the market price, we start off with the presumption that the market is correct and we have to convince ourselves that this is not the case before we conclude that something is over or under valued.战胜市场真的很难,尤其是长期战胜市场,通常我对于某些人大喊叉叉低估了报以微笑。
总结一下:估值的结果不重要,估值的过程最重要,在你买入之前和买入之后都是在这个过程之中。不要轻易喊高估低估,合理估值就不错了。
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总结一下:估值的结果不重要,估值的过程最重要,在你买入之前和买入之后都是在这个过程之中。不要轻易喊高估低估,合理估值就不错了。