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2006-02-25  Iran army’s victory decides the turn of state of affairs

(2006-02-28 09:37:39)
分类: I am back from central Asia
isabellezhou 2006-2-28 09:37 PM
Iran army’s victory decides the turn of state of affairs

2006-02-25 22:18:08
Sloping away to 刀口’ post to discuss something of technique, of course I don’t forget my friends here, and here I give you a map to consult together:
ZT06/2/25巴黎公社兄really has done a lot of research in military geography, maybe he is a brainman? 刀口’s conceive is not bad too…… I should learn from you two. …….and I want to say some of my opinion, I think if US army decides to attack Iran, she must complete her whole strategy on the basis of each phase, and at present, US army will try for limited attack, and reach their military objective soon. So they have the idea of using weapons of mass destruction. Undoubtedly, the Khuzestan plain will be the focus in the future. US think that Iran will do their best to protect this area because of the oil reason and at the same time the area is the aeroamphibious zone for the reason of geographic environment. This supply advantages for the Large-scale mechanized campaign and the use of neutron bomb, so US army want to exhaust and kill Iranian armed force largely by right of this method, and then capture this area to achieve their aim in the first stage, so they will not surmount the Zagros Mountains in a hurry, even this, they will be satisfied with their results of battle, of course they have next step…..certainly in order to achieve the aim there will be a lot of feint. The biochemical arms will be used by US army to prevent great countries from participation…… I’ve transferred an item to here no long ago; the department involved has finished their training, and prepared…….if Iran will launch large-scale corps into seesaw game with US army in this area, that will fit in exactly with their wishes…. But should this area be abandoned? The answer is No. we may think over this problem inversely. Effective control lie on  Ground occupancy, so US has to send out mechanized army……
So the defence can be deployed from the Zgros mountain area and make the Khuzestan plain become a battlefield on which Iranian could wear down US land force heavy, and just like what 公社兄have said what the Iranian should do is to make US neither swallow it nor spit it,  and such a situation will be the beginning of the real game……Iranian air force (don’t look down on them, they have good battle effectiveness, Americans will suffer from a headache) and artillery can completely operate effectively, and perform an important function, so they can make use of the covertures of long-distance firepower…the geographic conditions decide the limitation of US air force’s advantage…… to realize such an object, some construction should be done in war field and consolidate it step by step. Orderly retreat can trap them gradually and make them stuck in the mud at the bank of Karun River. Ant the same time it is need to prepare for the guerilla in this area. To break up the whole into parts and then organize regular guerilla, so it is need to prepare weapons for mechanized army. For example: 120 rocket launcher, antiaircraft missile used by individual soldier……. And others like 巴黎公社and 刀口 said, Iranian can launch an attack on their own initiative. So Iran must get ready and they should beat back decidedly as soon as the first bomb of US fall to their country. There are many objects such as air force and missile army may fight with their enemy in the south rendezvous so that make chaos in there…… many friends lack confidence in Iranian army. Recently I have watched some videos, from what I have seen, I think Iranian army can adopt leapfrog tactics to swoop under the intelligence supported by great countries and the covertures by their own air force. The key problem is whether their commander can go all out to do this, if he can, even if it will expense some troops, but it will  annihilate some organic units of US army……US army has for military bases in Afghanistan, and they are: Kandahar, Bagram……and established The high-tech antiterrorism commanding center. In Bagram;Herat and Qaleh-ye Fath  can be considered, Heart is an area of mountain and valley while the latter is relative plain area and this allow shock tactics for air force or other units. From the beginning of the war, airborne force may annihilate the air base in this area firmly without any misgiving (the US troops in Central Asia can not be moved easily), as the old saying goes: gaining and losing always together. You must learn to give up something; otherwise, the stage will be changed. ……Iranian army’s victory will decides the turn of state of affairs and will provide opportunity for other countries to fluctuate the station of US, and whether US want to keep on fighting this war or not are not simply his own business, because his friends will let him know he can not choose independently.

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