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Looking For "The Second Daqing"
(2006-03-29 15:51:00)
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Source: Caijing Magazing, Feb 6, 2006 (Translated by
Chen)
Almost half a century ago, China had an oil campaign to drop
the title of "a country without oil". With the development of
significant Daqing oil field, in 1965, China stopped depending on
imported oil for the first time. In 1965, the output of oil in
China was only 11.31 million tons, which equals 2 weeks' oil
consumption in 2005.
In
2003, for the first time, the output of Daqing oil field descend to
less than 50,000 tons. The output of Daqing in 2005 was 44.95
million tons. For China, one Daqing is not enough.
In
1993, China became an oil-importing country. In 2004, China
producted 175 million tons of oil and imported 120 million tons.
The imported part is over 45%. According to the statistics from
China Customs, in the first 11 months of 2005, China already
imported over 130 million tons, which was a new
record.
Mr.
Wang Tao, the former Minister of Oil, used to hope that China could
keep the imported part under 25%. However, if you take a look at
the thousands of cars on the 3rd ring road of Beijing, everybody
will understand that "The Age of Daqing" has gone.
China
never stops looking for a new Daqing. Xinjiang is one of the
candidates. With years of effort, in 2005, the output of Xinjiang
was 24.1 million tons, which was too far from Daqing. Although the
output of Xinjiang will reach 37 million tons in 2010, it's still
not enough for China market.
Zeng
Xingqiu, a rocksy of Sino Pec, told Caijing that there is a tiny
possibility to find out a 2nd Daqing in China. The better
possibility is to find out several "small and rich" oil fields with
output at 10 million or million tons level.
China's South Sea is another hopeful option. However, the
international considerations show that China hasn't been capable
and doesn't have relevant technologies to develop South
Sea.
In
the next few years, the increasing capability of China's oil output
is quite limited. In the next 15 years, China's annual oil output
will be around 180 million to 200 million tons. China's industry
develops so fast. International Energy Agency even predicted that
by 2030, China's oil importing need would be same like today's
USA's oil importing need, which would be around 600 million tons.
In the future, it will be China's oil companies' task to look for
oil abroad.
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