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 Stepping beyond subprim
Jan 10th 2008|NEW YORK
From The Economist print edition
Only Panglossians think that the sector is over the worst
The deawing of a new year is supposed to be about hope,but fear remains the domiant emotion among bankers.This week saw another round of bloodletting as they grappled with the effectd of the credit crunch. Barclays Capital and CIBC joined the long list of lenders to jettison senior investment bankers.And,to nobody's surprise,Jimmy Cayne stepped down as boss of Bear Stearns,the WAll Street bank with the Hedge-fund problems that arguably marked the start of the crisis last June.
Mr Cayne had been under huge pressure to go,thanks to $1.9billon of mortgage write-downs-leading to the bank's first-ever quarterly loss_and accusations that he had been more interested in improving his own performance at bridge and golf than shoring up hia bank's standing in the markets.He will remain as no
 The discovery of tolerance
Dec 13th 2007
Frome The Economist print edition
A TYPICAL Protestant view of European religious history might go like this.In medieval times,the Roman Catholic church grew increasingly corrupt and impervious to criticism.Then came the Reformation,with its new breath of freedom and tolerance.after a brief fightback that culminated in the ghastly Thirty Years War in 1618-48,Europe moved smoothly towards the Enlightenment and today's ideal of secular tolerance.It was all quite unlike,for example,Islam and the horrors aof the Ottoman empire.
Most of this conventional picture is entirely wrong,as this splendid book by Brnjamin Kaplan shows.Certainly,the medieval Catholic church continued to stamp heavily on heresy,but Enlightenment Protestants were often also deeply intolerant,not only of Catholic but also of each other(Mr Kaplan's book opens with the burning of Serventus,a noted Spanish Protestant,in Ca
日记 [2008年01月09日](2008-01-09 19:23)
 DEC 6the 2007
From the Economist print edition
The risks posed by CDOs should have been familiar to Wall Street's finest HOW dis bankers so misunderstand their own creations?The Frankensteins of Wall Street thought they had protected themselves from harm by holding only the safest slices of collateralised-debt obligations(CDOS),enticingly known as 'super senior'tranches,while selling the risker bits to other investors.A report issued this week by JPMORGAN,an investment bank,estimated tht banks alone held around $216 billion worth of super senior tranches of CDOS backed by assets such as mortgages and issued over the post two years.It now expects losses on these tranches to be 'immense'
The super senior tranches did have some attractions for banks.They protected investors from initial lossers on the mortagges backing the CDOS while offering  better returns than bonds with a similar rating.But as ERik Sirri, a senior official at
Swan songs(2008-01-06 00:12)
 swan songs
Dec 19th 2007
From The Economist print edition
The crises to watch for in 2008
LEAF through the finacial magazines at this time of year and they are full of Predictions.The five stocks to own!The hottest mutual funds!Wall Street's
finest are asked to spell out their forecasts in full.The venerable Abby Joseph Cohen of Goldman Sachs assert,with remarkable precision,that profits will grow by 5.6% and that the S&P 500 index will end the year,not at 1,670 ,but at 1,675.
The one forecast Buttonwood can safely make for 2008 is that the consensus will prove to be wrong.Although many anticipated a fall in American house prices for 2007,for example,few expected the scale of the ramifications for financial markets,as a whole system of structured finance appeared to unravel and the banking system was plunged into crisis.In one of the defining phrases of 2007,the author and investor Nassin Taleb has called
 Close books
Nov 15th 2007
From The Economist print edition
'THERE is more than one way not to read,the most radical of which is not tp open a book at all.'Thus begins Pierre Bayard's witty and provocative meditation on the nature,scale and necessity of non-reading.With thousands of books published every year,it is,he points out,the primary way people relat to books.And even those books they do get round to opening remain in a sense outside their knowledge.'Even as I read',he observes,'I start to forget what I have read.'
The first section explores the four categories of unread books,into at least
one of which Mr Bayard places every book he mentions.These are the 'books unknown to me',the'book I have skimmed','the books I have heard about'and 'the books I have forgotten'.No exceptions are admitted,even for books he himself wrote.
Each category is illustrated with an example frome literature.The librarian in \ro
传染病下(2007-12-18 20:23)
 Dr Casanova thinks HSE is the first example of a disease that was thought to be purely infectious but which has turned out to be purely monogenic-that is,under the control of a single gene.He has found a half-dozen other diseases that behave similarly.Dr Bbel,meanehile,is trying to gauge how common these genetic effects are.Based on a sudy of nearly 200 Vietnamese families affected by another infectous illness,the bacterial disease leprosy,he and his colleagues have indentified a single gene as a strong risk factor for leprosy in children under 16 years old.
The pair suspect that everyone will turn out to have narrow chinks in their immune armour that leave them vulnerable to certain  infection,and that most life-threatening infectous disease that strike before puberty will be monogenic-although they are far from proveing tjis.Others belive that the genetic control of susceptibility to infectious disease forms a spectrum,of which Dr Abreland Dr Casanova have
The germ of an idea(2007-12-17 17:52)
 Some people are more prone to infection than others.One answer could be to dose them with the molecules that their immune systems cannot make
LOUSE PASTEUR, the 19th-century Frence microbiologist and chemist,is credited with confirming that microbes cause disease.When studying ailing silkworms,he made two vital observations.The first was that,as the worms'illness was called,to the development of antibiotics to threat infectious illnesses and,ultimately,to the development,was contagious.This led to the germ theory of disease and,In all the excitement over germ,however,his second observation got overlooked:la flacherie was passed from parent to offspring.Almost 150 years later.the idea that susceptibility to infectous disease can be inherited is finally coming of age.A meeting held last week at the Pasteur Institute in Paris heard how the next generation of drugs will target not the microbial agents of infectious illness but their human hosts.
To this end
日记 [2007年12月16日](2007-12-16 23:09)
 Underground markets
 Half-cocked
Dec 6th 2007
From The Economist print edition
America's illicit gun-markrt is surprisingly inefficient
As AMERICANS digest the news of another gun atrocity,a mall shooting in Nebraska on December 5th,they cannot be blamed for thinking that guns are in too ready supply.But an article in the latest Economic Journal*suggest that the demand for illegal guns,at least,is not met as easily as people might fear.Sudhir Venkatesh,now of Columbia University,has talked to 132 gang-members,77 prostitutes,116 gun-owning youths,23 gun-dealers and numerous other denizens of Chicago's Grand Boulevard and Washington Park neibourhoods.He did not find many satified customers.
Chicago has unusually tough restrictions on legal handguns.Even so the black market is surprisingly'thin',attracting relatively few buyers and sellers.The authous reckon that the 48,000 residents of the two neighbourhood
Drug-resistant infections(2007-12-12 21:20)
 Riding piggyback
Nov 29th 2007
From The Economist print edition
Farm animals are infecting people with a new strain superbug
FILHY surroundings that are home to a population fed on antibiotics provide the ideal breeding grounds for superbug.But badly run hospitals are not the only such place.Farm where animals are reared intensively also provide an incubator for drug-resistent diseases.Recent research suggests that veterinary surgeons and farmers in Europe and Canada may be picking up potentially fatal infections from pigs and possibly cattle.
Superbugs evolve when common bacterial infextions develop resistence to the drugs used to treat them.The most widespread cause of hospital infections,methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus,or MRSA,is one such example.About a third of people carry some from of S.aureus on their skin,where the bacteria do no harm.However,if they enter the bloodstream,they can cause disease.

Nov 29th 2007 From The Economist print edition A full-blown dollar collaspse would be disastrous.Thankfully,it need not happen THE weather may be cold and wet,but in tje rich world's financial markets it is beginning to feel like August all over again.Credit spreads have widened and shares are pitching from gloom to elation as investors look to the  Federal Reserve for solace.The anxiety is unmistakable.But this time the scare is about more than bad  mortgage loans and their baleful effect on the credit markets:that the dollars'slide could spin out of control(see article).

A full-blown dollar crisis on top of a credit crunch and a weakening economy would be frightening.It would send finacial markets reeling and tie the hand of the Fed,perhaps forcing it to raise interest rates even as recession looms.The sky-high euro would soar further,choking off Europe's growth.Political tensions would also rise.Already Airbus has called the dollar's decline'life-threatening'and