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市场的加息预期走高 / Higher market interest rate expectations

(2011-03-17 14:38:47)
标签:

财经

加息

固定资产投资

分类: economic

    3月15日,央行发行100亿元一年期央票,利率为3.2%,较上周跳升约20个基点,超过3%的一年期存款利率,市场的加息预期迅速走高。受加息预期影响,上证A股早盘一度下探至2852.03点,下跌85.60点。

    March 15, the central bank issued 100 billion one-year central bank bills, the interest rate of 3.2%, jumped about 20 basis points last week, more than 3% of the one-year deposit interest rate, the market is expected to prompt higher interest rates. Affected by interest rate expectations, the Shanghai A shares was dropping 2852.03 points in early trading, down 85.60 points.

 

   现阶段基准利率绝对水平较低,依然有较大的上升空间,央行本周加息应是大概率事件。预计是上周周五会加息,也许是日本地震意外打乱了加息安排。预计3月份,政策将从偏重数量型调控转向偏向价格型调控,数量型调控以流动性调控为主。

    Low absolute level of the benchmark interest rate at this stage, there are still large room for growth, the central bank to raise interest rates this week should be the high probability event. Friday is expected to raise interest rates last week, perhaps the earthquake in Japan to raise interest rates unexpectedly disrupted the arrangements. Expected in March, the policy shift from the emphasis on quantitative regulation of the price-based regulation of bias, quantitative regulation of the flow control based.

 

   虽然固定资产投资头两个月增长强劲,但新开工项目投资出现同比负增长,预示未来投资增长可能放慢。结合货币信贷增速放缓,显示通胀压力上升的趋势得到控制。预计政府在近期推出进一步紧缩政策的可能性降低。

   While the first two months of fixed asset investment grew strongly, but investment in new projects appear negative growth year on year, suggesting growth may slow down future investment. Combination of monetary and credit growth is slowing, inflationary pressures show an upward trend under control. The Government is expected to introduce further tightening in the near future less likely.

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