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回到1920年?天王回归和次级抵押贷款的警告By Roy Gil

(2009-12-03 14:15:54)
标签:

杂谈

分类: 世俗-金融-卜卦

Being reminded by a colleague of the German hyperinflation of the 1920s made both of us hurry to the Google search engine for dates and indices. We discovered that the German Wholesale Price Index rose from a base of 1.0 in July 1914–just before the outbreak of war–to 2.6 in January 1919, 12.6 in January 1920, 14.4 in January 1921, 36.7 in January 1922, 2,785 in January 1923 and 726,000,000,000 in November 1923. By mid 1923 workers were being paid three times a day. Even if they rushed immediately to the shops they would most likely be empty. As the economy collapsed there was not even sufficient paper or printing capacity to create the money.

在经历过1920年德国的恶性通货膨胀同事提醒之后,大家都急于向谷歌搜索引擎寻找当日指数的日期。我们发现,德国批发物价指数1914年7月上升到了1.0,就在战争爆发的2.6 1919年1月,12.6在1920年1月,1921年1月在14.4,36.7,在1922年1月,在1923年1月2785和七千二百六十点零零零亿在1923年11月。 1923年中期付给工人,每天3次。即使他们立即赶到店铺他们最有可能是空的。随着经济的崩溃甚至没有足够的纸张或印刷能力创造货币。


This reached its climax around 24th November 1923 when Uranus went direct at 13degrees 39 of Pisces. Exactly 84 years later on 24th November 2007, the same planet went direct at 14 degrees 46 minutes of the same sign. During he months leading up to the 2007 moment, the US sub-prime lending crisis led to uncertainty in the banking system and difficulties in Britain of Northern Rock.

这达到了约1923年11月24日到高潮时,天王星直接在13degrees的双鱼座39。整整84年之后于2007年11月24日,在同一个星球去直接在14度46分钟相同的符号。在他几个月直至2007年为止,美国的次级贷款危机导致银行系统和英国的Northern Rock的困难不确定性。


Of course, these circumstances in 1923 were special to the beleaguered post First World War German state. Today, the organisation of the world economy is very different, much more integrated and responsible. Or is it? Certainly we do not have hyperinflation of cash notes in circulation, yet is the spectre of constant expansion of credit that we are battling with artificially low interest rates radically any different? Is the effect of such credit on the inflated value of property all over the world no more that a sophisticated way of pretending we can base our economies on constant expansion of services and the production of ever more possessions? Fundamentally how different are we today, when instead of printing money we record debt?

当然,在1923年这种情况下是一项特别的围困第一次世界大战后的德国国家。今天,世界经济组织是非常不同的,更加综合和负责任的。或者是什么?当然,我们并没有在流通中现金票据恶性通货膨胀,但就是信贷不断扩大的阴影,我们与人为的低利率争夺根本什么不同?是膨胀的财产价值在世界各地没有更多此类信贷作用的是,我们可以假装的基础上不断扩大,服务和物品的生产越来越复杂的方式使我们的经济?如何从根本上的不同,我们今天,而不是印钞票,我们创纪录的债务什么时候呢?


Uranus in Pisces may well encourage the view that we can invent financial schemes that achieve the impossible. In the 1920s, Neptune in Leo combined to encourage rampant world-wide speculation that built up to the 1929 Wall Street crash and the consequent 1930s Depression years. Today, Neptune is in the much more serious and scientific opposite sign of Aquarius and has been mutually receiving Uranus in Pisces. Hence the skilful manipulation of the market and the expansion of access to trading by more and more people via the internet. Indeed, it could be argued that for the 21 years or more since the London Big Bang introduction of electronic trading, it is the new money and new derivative instruments that have kept the financial markets not just afloat, but expanding rapidly.

天王星在双鱼座很可能鼓励认为,我们可以发明财务计划,不可能实现。在20世纪20年代,在狮子座海王星猖獗结合,以鼓励世界各地的猜测,建至1929年华尔街崩溃和随之而来的20世纪30年代大萧条多年。今天,在海王星是更为严重和科学宝瓶座相反符号,并一直相互接受双鱼座天王星。因此,市场的娴熟的操纵和越来越多的人获取的交易通过互联网扩大。的确,可以说为21年或自伦敦大爆炸的电子交易系统,更是新的资金和不断的新的金融市场不仅漂浮衍生工具,但迅速扩大。


Big question, can this introduction of new money or ways of hedging and offsetting continue indefinitely? Big problem, Pluto is leaving Sagittarius and, through 2008, establishing itself with Jupiter in Capricorn. The over-optimism that has encouraged us to use our Aquarian technological brilliance to find ways to expand, consume and speculate to death is in its very end days. Quite simply, we cannot go on as we are. The financial ingenuity will have to give way to realism – especially with Saturn now in Virgo. The consequences of our consumption of raw materials and energy will have to be faced–with or without nuclear power.

大问题,可这种新的资金或对冲的方式引进和抵消无限期地继续下去?大问题,冥王星离开射手座,并通过2008年,建立与木星在摩羯座本身。过度乐观,鼓励我们用水瓶的技术华晨设法扩大,消费和推测死亡中,它的最后日子。简单地说,我们不能继续,因为我们。金融智慧将不得不让位于现实主义-尤其是土星在室女座了。我们对原材料和能源消耗的后果将要面对或无核电。


Furthermore, the time of new obsession with new inventions, symbolised by Neptune in Aquarius and Uranus in Pisces, is running out. In the summer of 2010 their mutual reception will start to end, accompanied by a dramatic T-square between Saturn, Jupiter, Uranus and Pluto on the cusps of cardinal signs. By January 2012, not even Chiron will be left in Aquarius. As the world economy and political infrastructures respond to these astro-events, the room for manoeuvre will become ever more restricted. Delusions of grandeur, not taking the right action, getting around problems will no longer be options. Accepting the reality of personal responsibility will be all there is to guide us.

此外,在宝瓶座的象征由海王星和天王星在双鱼座的新发明,新痴迷时间,已经不多了。在2010年夏季相互接待将开始结束,一个戏剧性的T标志的大是大非的尖之间的土星,木星,天王星和冥王星方陪同。到2012年1月,甚至Chiron将留在宝瓶座。随着世界经济和政治基础设施应对这些天文事件,回旋余地将变得更加受到限制。的错觉,没有采取正确的行动,解决问题,越来越将不再选择。接受个人责任将所有的现实存在,是引导我们。


While the main thrust of all this is two to three years in the future, it is important to develop a deep understanding of the changes ahead right way. For this will enable us to separate good from bad ideas about the future and to determine what and who are worth following.

而这一切的主旨是2时58分在未来几年,重要的是要形成对未来变化的深刻理解正确的方式。对于这将使我们能够很好的分离,从对未来的坏主意,并确定什么,谁是值得仿效。


2008 is a transition year, where enough of the over-optimistic residue of the past remains (especially during the summers months) to enable us to play down the likely impact of our worries. We have become so technologically brilliant surely we will invent a solution; find a way around our problems. Not so! What will make us feel most at ease in 2008 is sensing we have a realistic grasp of the future that takes account of imminent astro-cycles. We understand what got us into our predicaments and have a radically realistic and refreshingly different way of answering our problems. We could make a start by being guided by people that understand the very root cause of our problems and have fresh, radical ideas as to their resolution.

2008年是转型的一年,在足够的过度乐观的残余仍然过去(特别是在夏天个月),使我们淡化了我们的忧虑可能产生的影响。我们已经变得如此辉煌的技术,我们一定会发明一种解决方案,我们找到一个解决问题的方法。事实绝非如此!什么让我们安心在2008年最重要的是我们有一个感应现实把握未来,是考虑到即将天文周期。我们了解了我们面临的困境,我们将有一个根本的现实和令人耳目一新的不同回答我们的问题的方法。我们可以作为一个起点,被人所为指导,因为他们了解我们的问题很根源,有新鲜的,以解决这些激进思想。

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