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我们如何真实的运作?

(2009-05-25 05:01:50)
标签:

财经

分类: 金融衍生产品预测

今天有个朋友问我.趋势线的书.技术指标的书我都看了这么多.为什么这些在运作过程中经常失效?

我也不想说一些书籍上已经有的答案.我只想说一句很简单的话.当技术指标也好.趋势线也罢.必须在其发生效力的时候.才有作用.指标和趋势线之流都是死的.人是活的.我们经常能看见股票在下跌过程中.MACD KDJ等等反而会地位金叉.看上去K线业好像到了趋势线的临界点.

注意.到了临界点.不代表什么.金叉了不算什么.同理.死叉也不算什么依据.

我们的临界点也好.任何技术指标也好.要确切的明确发生效力.才能产生实际运用的作用.

很多人说.很多股票走的都很怪.经常是出现买卖点.

没有人叫你碰这样的股票.不是每个人都有能力处理这些股票.

每个人都会问.如何能通过纯技术的方式真实的运用?我可以负责的说.长时期的观测.揣摩.判断.因为到了最后你发现.价格走到一定程度的位置总会有事情发生.你甚至能预测一些事情的发生.

长期是多长?对于我来说.高强度的看盘.一天走对路的研究.也不少于1年.每天不少于10小时.还必须是纯粹的对K线的研究.

基本面有没有研究的必要?有.你没有这么多的资源其实你就学下几本的会计财务管理知识.认认真真的学习的话.中级会计师资格证书的所有课程学完就非常够用了.

学习后你会发现.公司的财务报表算起来其实完全没有问题.你以为别人是傻子.假账真的作出来.就算你是普华永道的合伙人你都无法从账面上看出来.

你应该利用网络.搜索这个股票的公司.包含下面所有的子公司.牵涉的企业.政府关系.竞争对手.别人的评价没有必要看.你要看的就是.招聘的人数.什么岗位.重要程度.企业文化.供应链处理.资金流.可随时处理重大事件的能力.这些东西你看新闻就能看到了.任何新闻其实主要就是能或者不能的信息体现.这些所有的能力要锻炼好.系统的而肯学着话半年.很多人都学了好几年.

不要看到很多股票都是暴炒而兴奋.在我的定义里面.存在10%的利润可能则必定同时存在20%的亏损空间.在历史以来.游资从来都不是主流.你甚至可以看看历史上这么多游资暴炒股中启动前夕有多少散户?死在这种股中的人又有多少?

 

Today a friend asked me. Trend line of the book. Specifications book I have read so much. Why these in the regular operation of the process of failure?

I do not like to talk about some books already have the answer. I just want to say one simple thing. Or when the technical indicators. Whether the trend line. To be effective in its time. Only role. Indicators and trend line, and the like are is dead. who is alive. We often see the process of the stock on the decline. MACD KDJ something so it will enter. looks like K-line industry trend line to the critical point.

Attention. Reached a critical point. Does not mean anything. Something of nothing. Empathy. What the basis is not a selling point.

Or the critical point we have. Or any technical indicators. To clear the exact effect. To have the role of practical application.

Many people say that. A lot of stock to go very strange. Often appear at the sale.

No one tell you to touch this stock. Not everyone has the capacity to deal with these shares.

Everyone asked. How a purely technical way through the use of true? I can say. Long-term observation. Try to figure out. Judge. Because in the end you find. The price to some extent come to the location there is always going to happen. you can even predict the occurrence of something.

How long is the long-term? For me. High-intensity changes in the stock market research. Even if the study follow correct. Are not less than 1 year. Not less than 10 hours a day. Also must be pure research on the K line .

Is there any research fundamentals necessary? There. You do not have the resources of so many in fact, a few copies of your school's financial management accounting knowledge. Really serious to learn words. Intermediate accountant qualification certificate for all courses is good enough for the End.

After learning you will find.'s Calculation of the financial statements of fact, there is no problem with. Do you think other people are fools. Really made to accounting. Even if you are a partner at PricewaterhouseCoopers, you can view them from the book.

You should take advantage of the network. Search the shares of the company. Contains all of the following subsidiaries. Involves businesses. Government relations. Competitors. There is no need for others to see the uation. You want to see that. The number of recruitment. What positions. The importance of . corporate culture. the supply chain to deal with. cash flow. may at any time the ability to handle major issues. these things you will be able to see the news. any news is mainly a matter of fact the information can or can not be reflected. these all the ability to exercise good. System and willing to learn the words for half a year. Many people have studied for several years.

Do not see a lot of speculation and stock prices are excited. In my definition of it. There may be 10% of the profits while at the same time there must be a loss of 20% of the space. In history. Capital has never been mainstream. You can even take a look at the history of on the stocks of so many storms in the capital on the eve of the number of retail investors to start? died in such shares as well as the number of people?

 

 

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